Friday, October 09, 2009

2009 Top Midwest League Prospects

The Midwest League rankings feature the up and coming Jaff Decker who will reach San Diego far too late to save Kevin Towers his job. I never had a huge problem with Towers. He was far more handicapped (and successful despite this) by his team's ownership and budget than a frequent complainer like J.P. Ricciardi and his $100 million dollar losing squads.

MLB Fantasy Prospects wrote a great piece on Jaff Decker that I may have mentioned previously, but if you missed it you should certainly check it out. the site is an excellent resource for the prospect crazy or just the committed Advanced Fantasy Baseball Shark in need of an edge.
The big boy was no slouch this year at Low-A hitting .299, with 16 HRs, a .442 OBP, and a .514 SLG. Decker has a phenomenal eye that is indicative of a future fantasy star. He had a 19.2% walk rate and .92 BB/K rate batting third in the Fort Wayne (Padres’ Low-A affiliate) batting order. Notably, Decker has had a fairly high Batting Average on Balls in Play [BABIP] (.364 at Low-A /.432 in the AZL). Usually, such a high BABIP suggests a lucky hitter. In this case, there’s no luck involved, as Decker’s BABIP is sky high because he hits the ball freakishly hard.
MLB Fantasy Prospects has recently reported on prospects like Derek Norris of the Washington Nationals, Hector Rondon of the Cleveland Indians, and Brian Matusz of the Baltimore Orioles.

Top 25 Midwest League Batters (minimum 50 at-bats)

Name Team BB% K% AVG OBP SLG ISO Spd BABIP wOBA
James Darnell Padres 20.40% 23.00% 0.329 0.468 0.518 0.189 4 0.402 0.449
Brett Jackson Cubs 8.90% 28.60% 0.295 0.383 0.545 0.25 8.2 0.356 0.436
Jaff Decker Padres 19.20% 25.70% 0.299 0.442 0.514 0.215 4.8 0.364 0.434
Chris Dennis Brewers 12.60% 29.50% 0.318 0.409 0.538 0.22 4.2 0.427 0.432
Xavier Scruggs Cardinals 15.10% 33.30% 0.295 0.409 0.527 0.233 3.4 0.392 0.427
Jermaine Curtis Cardinals 14.50% 18.80% 0.304 0.426 0.438 0.134 5.3 0.367 0.417
Kyler Burke Cubs 14.40% 21.30% 0.303 0.405 0.505 0.202 5.8 0.359 0.417
Kyle Russell Dodgers 13.00% 37.40% 0.272 0.371 0.545 0.272 7.6 0.382 0.416
Joseph Becker Dodgers 10.60% 20.30% 0.339 0.403 0.492 0.153 3.9 0.413 0.407
Sawyer Carroll Padres 13.80% 22.80% 0.316 0.41 0.464 0.148 5.1 0.394 0.406
Josh Vitters Cubs 2.50% 15.60% 0.316 0.351 0.535 0.219 4.4 0.33 0.402
Conner Crumbliss Athletics 18.00% 18.00% 0.28 0.438 0.4 0.12 6.5 0.341 0.401
Kris Sanchez Mariners 13.60% 27.20% 0.291 0.391 0.496 0.205 1.7 0.366 0.401
Billy Nowlin Tigers 8.10% 16.00% 0.311 0.39 0.483 0.172 3.9 0.346 0.399
Chris Swauger Cardinals 7.30% 20.00% 0.296 0.357 0.522 0.226 6.7 0.341 0.397
Jerry Sands Dodgers 12.60% 30.80% 0.26 0.361 0.51 0.25 5.9 0.328 0.395
Grant Desme Athletics 7.50% 31.30% 0.274 0.334 0.49 0.216 8.4 0.359 0.394
Charles Cutler Cardinals 9.00% 10.30% 0.351 0.41 0.455 0.103 2.8 0.38 0.393
Byron Wiley Reds 16.60% 29.80% 0.275 0.395 0.461 0.186 5.4 0.363 0.392
Brian Van Kirk Blue Jays 14.00% 25.70% 0.278 0.389 0.451 0.173 4.1 0.344 0.392
Alexia Amarista Angels 9.50% 12.80% 0.319 0.39 0.468 0.149 7.8 0.359 0.391
Nick Van Stratten Royals 9.90% 12.50% 0.318 0.393 0.447 0.129 7.7 0.36 0.39
Blake Ochoa Mariners 7.50% 20.20% 0.318 0.379 0.48 0.162 3.6 0.376 0.387
Josh Harrison Cubs 5.00% 8.30% 0.337 0.377 0.479 0.142 7.3 0.358 0.386
Marc Krauss Diamondbacks 10.90% 18.30% 0.304 0.377 0.478 0.174 3.1 0.359 0.386
Luis Flores Cubs 20.00% 22.90% 0.208 0.387 0.458 0.25 1.9 0.229 0.385
Brendan Duffy Diamondbacks 11.10% 20.90% 0.308 0.414 0.393 0.085 7.7 0.39 0.384
Anthony Delmonico Dodgers 11.20% 23.60% 0.285 0.383 0.43 0.145 4.4 0.352 0.382
Andrew Cumberland Padres 12.10% 12.40% 0.293 0.386 0.41 0.117 7.9 0.329 0.382
Matt Carpenter Cardinals 13.90% 12.40% 0.295 0.405 0.39 0.095 4.6 0.337 0.381
Matt Clark Padres 11.60% 28.60% 0.266 0.352 0.484 0.218 1.6 0.331 0.381
Ramon Santana Twins 11.90% 25.30% 0.296 0.384 0.453 0.156 4 0.377 0.379
Anthony Hatch Dodgers 9.60% 14.60% 0.294 0.363 0.463 0.169 5.4 0.327 0.379
Jarrod Dyson Royals 6.90% 20.90% 0.343 0.397 0.403 0.06 8 0.434 0.377
Scott Savastano Mariners 11.90% 17.90% 0.3 0.39 0.404 0.104 6.1 0.354 0.377

Top 25 Midwest League Pitchers (minimum 50 IP)


Name Team K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WHIP BABIP LOB% ERA FIP
Andrew Taylor Angels 14.55 3.33 0 0.94 0.32 85.40% 1.23 1.08
Brad Brach Padres 11.59 1.55 0.14 0.74 0.264 82.70% 1.27 1.54
Cheyne Hann Mariners 9.75 1.05 0.26 0.82 0.279 83.30% 1.32 1.85
Chris Huseby Cubs 12.17 1.67 0.5 0.98 0.335 86.90% 1.83 1.94
Vladimir Veras Angels 9.83 3 0 1.13 0.316 68.30% 3 2.13
Matt Daly Blue Jays 9.59 3.55 0 1.09 0.283 76.80% 1.95 2.31
Bryan Woodall Diamondbacks 9.86 2.3 0.27 1.35 0.382 68.00% 3.24 2.34
Blaine Hardy Royals 9.16 1.66 0.29 0.95 0.29 76.00% 2.05 2.37
Zachary Herr Padres 12.71 3.18 0.64 1.24 0.366 62.70% 4.13 2.41
Bayron Zepeda Diamondbacks 7.3 2.04 0 1.43 0.375 62.00% 4.58 2.43
Henderson Alvarez Blue Jays 6.66 1.38 0.07 1.13 0.317 63.60% 3.47 2.43
Nick Schmidt Padres 10.28 4.01 0 1.18 0.305 67.70% 2.79 2.48
Nick Schumacher Padres 8.74 2.22 0.16 1.08 0.305 88.20% 1.11 2.49
Barry Bowden Royals 11.22 3.86 0.35 1.01 0.257 75.70% 2.28 2.56
Ezequiel Infante Reds 7.91 1.55 0.34 1.15 0.325 69.30% 3.44 2.57
Robert Boothe Dodgers 12.46 4.63 0.32 1.49 0.396 62.20% 4.95 2.65
Kenn Kasparek Mariners 8.51 2.03 0.32 1.12 0.313 73.50% 2.41 2.68
Liam Hendriks Twins 8.37 2.03 0.41 1.32 0.357 65.30% 3.51 2.69
Ryan Buchter Cubs 11.66 5.02 0.15 1.15 0.273 77.10% 1.33 2.69
Jamie Richmond Athletics 7.2 0.9 0.54 1.06 0.308 74.30% 2.7 2.74
Tyler Stohr Tigers 8.11 2.36 0.3 1.23 0.328 69.20% 3.54 2.76
Casey Crosby Tigers 10.06 4.13 0.26 1.13 0.273 72.80% 2.41 2.8
Tyler Conn Tigers 7.97 2.31 0.39 1.19 0.314 72.70% 3.21 2.8
Simon Castro Padres 10.07 2.37 0.58 1.1 0.313 68.20% 3.33 2.8
Anthony Shawler Tigers 8.19 2.59 0.33 1.23 0.321 66.50% 3.76 2.89
Daniel Merklinger Brewers 9 2.89 0.51 1.17 0.303 76.10% 2.55 2.9
Austin Bibens-Dirkx Cubs 6.37 1.15 0.51 0.91 0.255 77.10% 2.04 2.9
Brayan Villarreal Tigers 10.28 2.96 0.44 1.15 0.316 73.60% 2.87 2.91
Steven Blevins Twins 7.87 3.05 0.23 1.37 0.34 66.90% 3.52 2.97
Michael Montgomery Royals 8.07 3.72 0.16 1.14 0.269 73.60% 2.17 2.98
Geison Aguasviva Dodgers 6.61 2.87 0.14 1.16 0.285 80.20% 1.58 2.99
Wily Peralta Brewers 10.24 3.99 0.43 1.32 0.33 71.60% 3.47 3
Christopher Archer Cubs 9.83 5.45 0 1.32 0.293 72.90% 2.81 3.03
Ramon Delgado Cardinals 7.46 1.87 0.55 1.06 0.285 74.40% 2.41 3.03
Luke Putkonen Tigers 6.93 2.83 0.18 1.31 0.321 70.60% 3.13 3.05

Monday, October 05, 2009

Trevor Hoffman Close to Re-Signing with Brewers

According to a report in the Milwaukee-Wisconsin Journal Sentinel, Trevor Hoffman is very close to re-signing with the Milwaukee Brewers. Both sides have been quoted as interested in another deal so this should come as no surprise to Brewer fans. In fact, ESPN's Buster Olney is saying that the deal is done. A one year deal for $8 million that keeps the closer in a Brewer uniform.

Hoffman had another very solid season despite common belief that his skills were fading at the end of the 2008 season. Hoffman converted 37 of 41 save chances and finished with a 3-2 record, 1.83/2.63 ERA/FIP, 8.00 K9, 2.33 BB9, 0.33HR9, and a 0.85 GB/FB ratio. He should be a solid mid-range closer for fantasy owners in 2010.


Under Not Fantasy Sports But Still Awesome:

Joe Posnanski is my favorite baseball writer. He is the favorite of a lot of serious baseball fans. He has a new book out called "The Machine" which you can buy through the link below. You'll not only be buying a great book but supporting this site (and a great baseball writer) if you use this link. Thanks.

Rob Neyer: (interviewing Joe P.)
Some people root for baseball teams. I root for baseball books, for two reasons. One, a fair number of my friends have written baseball books, so rooting for a book is like rooting for a friend. And two, I've written a few books myself, and know what it's like to pour one's life into something for many months and wind up eliciting hardly a yawn from the Big Wide World. Anyway, I'm rooting for Joe Posnanski's new book, The Machine, about the 1975 Cincinnati Reds, which was officially published today. Joe and I haven't yet met, but I do know he's an easy guy to root for, all the more because I've read his book. Well, I thought I knew Pete Rose and Johnny Bench already -- and I did -- but now I know them better.

There are memorable teams in baseball—and then there are utterly unforgettable teams like the 1975 Cincinnati Reds. From 1972 to 1976, the franchise known as the Big Red Machine dominated the National League, winning four division crowns, three league pennants, and two World Series titles. But their 1975 season has become the stuff of sports legend. In The Machine, award-winning sports columnist Joe Posnanski captures all of the passion and tension, drama and glory of this extraordinary team considered to be one of the greatest ever to take the field. Helmed by Hall of Fame manager Sparky Anderson, the lineup for the '75 Reds is a Who's Who of baseball stars: Pete Rose, Ken Griffey, Joe Morgan, Johnny Bench, Tony Perez, George Foster, Cesar Geronimo, and Dave Concepcion. Like a well-oiled engine, the '75 Reds ended the regular season with 108 wins and finished a whopping 20 games ahead of their closest division competitor, the Los Angeles Dodgers. But that remarkable year was not without controversy. Feuds, fights, insults, and run-ins with fans were as much a part of the season as hits, runs, steals, and strikeouts. Capturing this rollicking thrill-ride of a story, Posnanski brings to vivid life the excitement, hope, and high expectations that surrounded the players from the beginning of spring training through the long summer and into a nail-biting World Series, where, in the ninth inning of the seventh game, the Big Red Machine fulfilled its destiny, defeating the Boston Red Sox 4-3. As enthralling and entertaining as the season and players it captures, The Machine is the story of a team unlike any other in the sport's glorious history.

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Evaluating Major League Baseball Managers


There is a huge story brewing in Toronto. Stories are breaking that the team has started to rebel against Blue Jays manager Cito Gaston. But there is also serious doubt as to where this story is coming from. First, as Richard Griffin of the Toronto Star points out, it is unusual that a team that has been lost by its manager does so while on its best streak of the season. They've won their last six games and nine of their last ten. Ken Rosenthal who blew this story up has been (to put it gently) annoying a lot of people with unsubstantiated rumors and exaggerations (exactly what he generally accuses all bloggers of doing) this season. Griffin points out that Rosenthal generally gets his stories (at least in Toronto) from the front office and not the players in the clubhouse. Thoughts are that J.P. Ricciardi (fired today) planted the story on his way out the door.

Managers always seem to get either too much credit or none at all. Many stat guys will tell you that a good major league manager has an impact on very few games. I haven't decided whether I believe that or not. I think a good manager might have a huge impact everyday that is simply not quantifiable. But just because we can't (or it is hard to) count it does not mean it doesn't exist. As fantasy owners we are a little more likely to see the things managers do that affect our games. We notice that Matt Kemp is batting seventh in the lineup despite being the best hitter on the team. We can read between the lines and realize that Cito Gaston has a problem with B.J. Ryan in Spring Training. We know that Dusty Baker will give his favorite veterans many opportunities but that rookies and younger players had better perform one way or another if they want to stay in the lineup.

Fantasy owners can get a huge jump on their competition by getting to know managers and how they do things. This is not simply reading what they say to the press. Most of us know that we can't take their words for much. But if we listen to their words and watch what they do we can build a very good picture of what they really think. This is hugely important to owners that want to play Advanced Fantasy Baseball. Your player evaluations are not complete if you haven't taken the time to consider what the team's manager and front office personnel think about him. I have made this mistake at times this season. Drew Sutton and Kevin Frandsen might have better skills than the players in front of them but unless they win the approval of their respective managers they would be lucky to make their teams out of Spring Training.

There have been various attempts by very smart people at Baseball Prospectus, Hardball Times and a few other sites to quantify a manager's impact on the game. But it's remains difficult to measure but there has been progress. Recently, Jeremy Greenhouse wrote an article for the Baseball Analysts that examines the impact managers have on major league bullpens. The results are very interesting. It includes some very good graphics that make the difference between some teams very clear.

Here's a small sample:
...La Russa does a fantastic job of platooning. Both lefties he’s utilized out of the pen have had the benefit of facing a majority of same-handed batters. Trever Miller has put up great numbers this year, and La Russa would be well-served to use him as the southpaw in a righty-lefty combination with Kyle McClellan who has been holding his own as La Russa's go-to guy after Franklin. There is a dilemma in the case of Miller, who is truly exceptional against lefties to the tune of 37 strikeouts to six walks this year. So in a relatively close game, should La Russa bring him in once the starter is out and a lefty is up to ensure quality innings from Miller, or should La Russa at times wait and hope that Miller might have the chance to face a couple lefties in the 8th or 9th when the leverage is highest, but risk not pitching Miller at all?
The Baseball Analysts is a great site that every fantasy owner interested in increasing their understanding of the game of baseball should be reading. They regularly evaluate pitchers and hitters in great detail, they study prospects and release lists that are very underrated by those that get intense about minor leaguers. If they do what they usually do you can expect very nice reports on the non-tenders, Rule V, and Arizona Fall League players.

Press Release: Toronto Blue Jays management change

ROGERS today announced that J.P. RICCIARDI will be leaving his position as Senior Vice President, Baseball Operations & General Manager of the Toronto Blue Jays effective immediately. Mr. Ricciardi joined the Blue Jays in 2001.

"This was a tough decision and a difficult one for me personally as I have enjoyed J.P.'s friendship and his perspective on the game," said Paul Beeston, acting President, and CEO. "J.P. has put an incredible amount of effort into improving the team and he has brought along a number of great young players. However, I feel that it is time for a change and accordingly we have decided to move on."

Alexander Anthopoulos, Vice President, Baseball Operations & Assistant General Manager will fill the role commencing today.

Friday, October 02, 2009

Top Carolina League Players of 2009

The Carolina League is next up in our series of minor league rankings. This will get very interesting next week when we begin to review the 2009 MLB season.

The Top 25 Carolina League Batters (minimum 50 at-bats)

Name Team BB% K% AVG OBP SLG ISO Spd BABIP wOBA
Matt McBride Indians 8.00% 11.90% 0.405 0.453 0.667 0.262 1.5 0.429 0.495
Ryan Kalish Red Sox 18.40% 17.40% 0.304 0.434 0.513 0.209 6 0.333 0.428
Jordan Danks White Sox 13.20% 27.10% 0.322 0.409 0.525 0.203 6.9 0.422 0.425
Daniel Nava Red Sox 14.20% 19.30% 0.339 0.434 0.495 0.156 3.6 0.414 0.415
Robert Widlansky Orioles 8.20% 14.70% 0.34 0.395 0.506 0.166 3.8 0.384 0.406
Chase D'Arnaud Pirates 12.50% 19.50% 0.295 0.402 0.481 0.186 8 0.352 0.406
Yamaico Navarro Red Sox 6.00% 12.80% 0.319 0.373 0.543 0.223 2.3 0.333 0.405
Jason Heyward Braves 10.00% 15.90% 0.296 0.369 0.519 0.222 3.8 0.309 0.401
Ernesto Mejia Braves 6.50% 27.60% 0.293 0.358 0.569 0.276 2.2 0.359 0.397
Brandon Waring Orioles 9.70% 25.60% 0.273 0.354 0.52 0.247 3.8 0.316 0.387
Kris Watts Pirates 13.90% 15.00% 0.291 0.405 0.432 0.141 4.1 0.326 0.385
Danny Espinosa Nationals 13.50% 27.20% 0.264 0.375 0.46 0.196 6.6 0.327 0.382
Freddie Freeman Braves 9.30% 16.10% 0.302 0.394 0.447 0.145 2.7 0.341 0.381
David Lough Royals 5.10% 15.30% 0.32 0.37 0.473 0.153 4.8 0.361 0.379
Matthew Tucker Orioles 9.70% 23.00% 0.317 0.386 0.489 0.173 4.6 0.388 0.379
Miles Durham Pirates 6.40% 22.30% 0.296 0.348 0.49 0.194 6.7 0.357 0.379
Kyle Shelton White Sox 7.70% 23.10% 0.324 0.387 0.426 0.102 2.8 0.415 0.377
Cody Johnson Braves 13.20% 40.50% 0.242 0.345 0.517 0.275 3.5 0.32 0.377
Logan Johnson White Sox 9.40% 19.80% 0.269 0.362 0.467 0.198 2.3 0.295 0.376
Lonnie Chisenhall Indians 8.70% 20.60% 0.276 0.346 0.492 0.216 3.5 0.307 0.376
Ole Sheldon Indians 11.00% 16.30% 0.267 0.36 0.473 0.205 2.1 0.276 0.376
Sean Rooney Nationals 10.00% 15.20% 0.3 0.366 0.465 0.166 2.4 0.331 0.376
Christian Marrero White Sox 4.60% 19.50% 0.314 0.357 0.482 0.168 3.6 0.366 0.374
Gerardo Rodriguez Braves 6.30% 32.10% 0.281 0.331 0.5 0.219 5.2 0.364 0.373
Christopher Marrero Nationals 9.20% 23.40% 0.287 0.36 0.464 0.176 3 0.342 0.371
Devin Ivany Nationals 12.80% 17.50% 0.269 0.36 0.474 0.205 2.6 0.291 0.368
Seth Loman White Sox 5.60% 29.70% 0.262 0.335 0.483 0.22 2 0.323 0.367
Clint Robinson Royals 7.40% 18.10% 0.298 0.356 0.463 0.165 3.4 0.34 0.366
Michael Martinez Nationals 7.50% 15.70% 0.293 0.347 0.475 0.182 7.8 0.331 0.366
Pedro Alvarez Pirates 13.20% 28.80% 0.247 0.342 0.486 0.239 3 0.289 0.364
Jeff Bianchi Royals 8.30% 21.40% 0.3 0.36 0.427 0.127 6.2 0.367 0.364
Tim Fedroff Indians 14.50% 25.10% 0.278 0.383 0.381 0.103 5.6 0.362 0.362
Jared Keel Pirates 18.40% 23.90% 0.229 0.378 0.409 0.179 2 0.266 0.362
John Drennen Indians 16.00% 15.90% 0.27 0.395 0.397 0.127 4.8 0.321 0.361
Nick Van Stratten Royals 8.60% 13.70% 0.288 0.371 0.403 0.115 3.5 0.316 0.359

The Top 25 Carolina League Pitchers (minimum 50 IP)

Name Team K/9 BB/9 HR/9 WHIP BABIP LOB% ERA FIP
Brandon Sisk Royals 11.51 2.66 0.3 0.79 0.229 77.90% 1.92 2
Michael Montgomery Royals 7.96 2.08 0 0.96 0.274 71.70% 2.25 2.3
Derrick Loop Red Sox 10.48 2.96 0.27 1.09 0.306 83.10% 1.61 2.33
Charles Shirek White Sox 6.09 2.22 0 1.22 0.311 62.50% 3.88 2.63
Bradley Meyers Nationals 6.62 2.14 0.1 1.04 0.275 83.50% 1.43 2.72
Jason Rice Red Sox 12.09 5.27 0.26 1.13 0.258 78.60% 2.44 2.81
Danny Duffy Royals 8.88 2.91 0.43 1.18 0.305 71.30% 2.98 2.84
Ryne Miller Red Sox 9.6 2.93 0.49 1.23 0.326 79.00% 2.77 2.86
Kelvin Villa Royals 7.8 2.56 0.35 1.46 0.368 70.10% 3.38 2.86
Brian Matusz Orioles 10.13 2.84 0.68 1.16 0.311 78.90% 2.16 2.91
Chen Lee Indians 10.48 3.02 0.54 1.14 0.31 73.20% 3.35 2.98
Chris Chavez Royals 7.28 4.26 0 1.5 0.338 83.10% 1.95 3.06
Eric Berger Indians 8.16 3.67 0.33 1.25 0.297 75.90% 2.45 3.14
Kyle Landis Indians 9.76 2.59 0.76 1.19 0.319 74.20% 3.05 3.15
Eammon Portice Red Sox 9.89 2.52 0.84 1.28 0.344 66.80% 4.35 3.15
Edgar Osuna Braves 6.94 1.73 0.5 1.32 0.344 63.90% 4.33 3.16
Harrison Bishop Pirates 8.14 2.68 0.56 1.21 0.309 53.20% 5.02 3.2
Matt McSwain Pirates 3.99 1.43 0.19 1.28 0.317 70.30% 3.43 3.21
Brandon Beachy Braves 7.29 2.33 0.31 1.26 0.325 63.90% 3.26 3.22
Zachary Britton Orioles 8.42 3.54 0.39 1.27 0.307 68.90% 2.7 3.26
Jose Ortegano Braves 7.62 2.45 0.52 1.08 0.274 67.20% 3.49 3.29
Thomas Palica Braves 10.28 3.66 0.7 1.3 0.326 71.40% 3.31 3.32
Dan Leatherman Nationals 8.66 2.97 0.65 1.25 0.313 75.90% 3.23 3.33
Jeff Locke - - - 7 3.11 0.35 1.48 0.35 63.80% 4.59 3.33
Robert Coello Red Sox 11.18 4.64 0.55 1.09 0.246 77.70% 2.05 3.37
Tom Milone Nationals 6.3 2.14 0.54 1.19 0.296 74.30% 2.91 3.39
Dave McKae Red Sox 6.75 1.9 0.63 1.32 0.335 63.00% 4.32 3.42
Mario Santiago Royals 6.42 2.25 0.53 1.42 0.345 64.10% 4.3 3.44
Josh Papelbon Red Sox 6.03 2.26 0.3 1.19 0.296 76.10% 2.87 3.45
Russell Young Indians 5.44 1.53 0.49 1.15 0.294 72.40% 3.28 3.46
William Atwood Nationals 7.77 2.63 0.66 1.33 0.33 64.80% 4.61 3.48
Hector Santiago White Sox 10.24 3.88 0.78 1.36 0.334 64.00% 3.88 3.49
Paolo Espino Indians 7.68 2.59 0.68 1.04 0.256 76.00% 2.59 3.55
Kyle Weiland Red Sox 7.6 3.87 0.27 1.33 0.305 68.10% 3.46 3.55
Richard Sullivan Braves 6.41 3.12 0.4 1.37 0.317 62.20% 4.25 3.64

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Top California League Players of 2009

That Koby Clemens had a good season. Maybe he just needed to get his Dad out of the league. If you haven't guessed we're down to A-ball and we're ranking the players by wOBA and FIP.

The Top 25 California League Batters (minimum 50 at-bats)

Name Team BB% K% AVG OBP SLG ISO Spd BABIP wOBA
Koby Clemens Astros 10.80% 25.80% 0.345 0.419 0.636 0.291 5.1 0.425 0.451
Grant Desme Athletics 12.70% 29.50% 0.304 0.398 0.656 0.352 7.5 0.35 0.45
Brandon Crawford Giants 8.70% 30.50% 0.371 0.445 0.6 0.229 5.5 0.493 0.445
Thomas Neal Giants 12.00% 20.60% 0.337 0.431 0.579 0.242 4.8 0.389 0.444
Mitchell Moreland Rangers 11.00% 15.30% 0.341 0.421 0.594 0.253 2.7 0.368 0.441
Logan Forsythe Padres 20.50% 20.30% 0.322 0.472 0.504 0.182 5.2 0.378 0.441
Buster Posey Giants 13.40% 15.50% 0.326 0.428 0.54 0.213 4.2 0.352 0.433
Alex Liddi Mariners 9.70% 24.70% 0.345 0.411 0.594 0.249 5.4 0.422 0.431
Eduardo Perez Dodgers 8.50% 31.30% 0.353 0.414 0.567 0.213 5.2 0.5 0.426
Scott Beerer Rockies 9.90% 14.10% 0.346 0.413 0.55 0.204 6.3 0.376 0.422
Tommy Giles Dodgers 8.60% 21.90% 0.344 0.389 0.594 0.25 1.8 0.391 0.417
Andres Perez Dodgers 6.40% 22.30% 0.34 0.393 0.573 0.233 4 0.4 0.412
Tyson Gillies Mariners 10.80% 16.30% 0.341 0.43 0.486 0.145 8 0.395 0.411
Jonathan Gaston Astros 12.10% 31.70% 0.278 0.367 0.598 0.32 7.5 0.342 0.41
Steve Kleen Athletics 11.10% 14.80% 0.342 0.43 0.486 0.144 2 0.382 0.409
Tim Smith Rangers 7.70% 16.70% 0.333 0.413 0.475 0.142 4.2 0.375 0.407
Thomas Steele Astros 4.40% 20.60% 0.345 0.385 0.562 0.216 7.5 0.416 0.406
James Darnell Padres 11.30% 16.20% 0.294 0.377 0.553 0.26 4.4 0.304 0.406
Sawyer Carroll Padres 13.00% 22.40% 0.32 0.402 0.531 0.211 6.3 0.402 0.404
Jose Yepez Mariners 9.40% 11.70% 0.338 0.407 0.51 0.172 2.2 0.358 0.403
Matt Weston Astros 10.40% 32.70% 0.3 0.374 0.572 0.272 4.1 0.399 0.403
Jason Castro Astros 12.70% 19.80% 0.309 0.399 0.517 0.208 2.7 0.358 0.401
Elio Sarmiento Rangers 9.40% 19.10% 0.344 0.415 0.475 0.131 5.5 0.418 0.4
Joseph Dunigan Mariners 8.60% 28.30% 0.294 0.355 0.57 0.276 6.4 0.35 0.397
Scott Van Slyke Dodgers 11.00% 25.80% 0.294 0.373 0.534 0.24 4.6 0.357 0.394
Matthew Sweeney Angels 11.00% 17.50% 0.299 0.379 0.517 0.218 4.1 0.327 0.394
Lance Zawadzki Padres 11.00% 20.00% 0.276 0.36 0.552 0.276 4.4 0.283 0.393
Matt Clark Padres 10.10% 24.80% 0.292 0.367 0.524 0.232 4.9 0.343 0.39
Matthew Spencer Athletics 9.30% 12.80% 0.274 0.338 0.573 0.299 3.3 0.239 0.389
James McOwen Mariners 8.20% 15.70% 0.34 0.393 0.494 0.154 6.1 0.387 0.386
Jemile Weeks Athletics 11.50% 19.90% 0.299 0.385 0.468 0.169 4.8 0.344 0.386
Brent Johnson Mariners 12.20% 13.80% 0.292 0.413 0.415 0.123 6.1 0.327 0.385
Trayvon Robinson Dodgers 9.60% 26.60% 0.306 0.375 0.5 0.194 7.9 0.391 0.384
Darren Ford Giants 11.40% 25.50% 0.3 0.386 0.463 0.163 8.5 0.383 0.384
Roger Kieschnick Giants 6.50% 25.10% 0.296 0.345 0.532 0.236 6.6 0.357 0.381


The Top 25 California League Pitchers (minimum 50 IP)

Name Team K/9 BB/9 HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% ERA FIP
Craig Baker Rockies 10.77 3.02 0.14 0.217 1.12 0.321 70.70% 2.3 2.26
Ben Hornbeck Athletics 13.03 3.76 0.35 0.228 1.25 0.367 67.50% 3.52 2.3
Bryan Oland Padres 10.55 2.02 0.47 0.245 1.14 0.344 75.20% 3.1 2.3
Nick Vincent Padres 10.35 2.52 0.42 0.267 1.31 0.37 71.80% 3.08 2.39
Christian Friedrich Rockies 11.26 3.39 0.36 0.22 1.17 0.324 76.30% 2.54 2.55
Cory Luebke Padres 8.15 1.73 0.31 0.227 1.02 0.293 78.20% 2.34 2.58
Colt Hynes Padres 6.71 2.59 0 0.265 1.31 0.329 68.80% 2.9 2.73
Ryan Falcon Rangers 9.5 1.76 0.68 0.23 1.04 0.303 79.70% 2.44 2.75
Ethan Hollingsworth Rockies 8.45 2.41 0.45 0.314 1.56 0.397 61.30% 4.83 2.83
Daniel Turpen Giants 7.58 3.03 0.14 0.233 1.19 0.299 83.10% 1.24 2.91
Chris Withrow Dodgers 10.95 4.69 0.31 0.247 1.45 0.357 63.60% 4.69 2.96
Connor Graham Rockies 9.75 4.59 0.22 0.231 1.36 0.321 70.20% 3.14 2.96
Steven Richard Mariners 9.76 4.12 0.31 0.302 1.68 0.406 62.50% 5.03 3
Fernando Abad Astros 8.6 0.87 0.87 0.251 1.04 0.312 61.40% 4.14 3.02
Tanner Roark Rangers 9.45 2.8 0.52 0.218 1.1 0.291 79.00% 2.7 3.03
Garrett Broshuis Giants 5.06 1.23 0.31 0.214 0.9 0.245 76.60% 2.15 3.03
Bryan Henry Diamondbacks 7.67 1.79 0.6 0.271 1.25 0.333 71.10% 3.15 3.04
Sean Jarrett Rockies 7.64 2.05 0.41 0.306 1.47 0.378 59.70% 4.64 3.05
Wilmin Rodriguez Giants 7.54 3.77 0.15 0.207 1.16 0.267 73.30% 2.72 3.1
Adalberto Flores Rangers 11.8 3.4 0.97 0.245 1.29 0.349 70.80% 3.4 3.11
Jeff Dietz Diamondbacks 9.68 2.32 0.68 0.234 1.12 0.311 66.20% 3.14 3.12
Joshua Collmenter Diamondbacks 9.41 3.41 0.5 0.237 1.25 0.316 63.80% 4.15 3.12
Richard Bleier Rangers 6.77 1.25 0.56 0.289 1.29 0.344 58.70% 4.51 3.14
Corey Kluber Padres 10.24 2.97 0.74 0.264 1.34 0.355 62.40% 4.54 3.15
Paul Oseguera Giants 8.31 1.8 0.77 0.235 1.07 0.292 68.00% 3.77 3.21
Shane Wolf Astros 7.49 2.23 0.67 0.293 1.42 0.355 61.10% 5.34 3.27
Scott Barnes Giants 9.09 2.66 0.64 0.229 1.13 0.297 76.20% 2.85 3.27
Alexander Torres Angels 9.2 4.67 0.3 0.214 1.29 0.29 76.10% 2.74 3.29
Wynn Pelzer Padres 8.78 3.52 0.36 0.24 1.28 0.315 66.60% 3.94 3.3
Joey Williamson Rockies 8.75 2.61 0.76 0.232 1.14 0.293 73.20% 3.36 3.33
Jake Wild Mariners 7.91 2.52 0.68 0.282 1.39 0.347 64.50% 4.09 3.34
T.J. Brewer Giants 10.3 3.01 0.88 0.296 1.52 0.394 75.60% 4.02 3.35
Tom Layne Diamondbacks 5.86 3.41 0.14 0.253 1.33 0.302 71.40% 2.86 3.37
Derrick Gordon Athletics 9.46 3.47 0.63 0.225 1.2 0.297 60.60% 3.78 3.38
Bruce Billings Rockies 11.05 3.44 0.91 0.245 1.3 0.339 62.00% 4.17 3.38

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

News, Links and Observations

The Cleveland Indians have fired manager Eric Wedge and the entire coaching staff. Why they bothered to do this with less than a week remaining in the season will probably remain a mystery.

The Indians are in the early stages of what general manager Mark Shapiro referred to as a "reloading" period, and the reload will extend to the managerial position and the coaching staff.

A 1:30 p.m. ET press conference was scheduled Wednesday at Progressive Field to announce that Wedge and his coaches have all been relieved of their duties. Wedge and his staff will stay aboard for the season's final six games, including the four-game set in Boston this weekend.

According to a team source, Wedge has known his fate for several days, while the coaches -- including pitching coach Carl Willis, hitting coach Derek Shelton, bench coach Jeff Datz, first-base coach Luis Rivera, third-base coach Joel Skinner and bullpen coach Chuck Hernandez -- were informed of the moves following Tuesday's rainout against the White Sox.



Taking over for Peter Abraham, the number one Yankees blogger at The LoHud Yankees Blog, will be Chad Jennings of the Times-Tribune in Scranton and the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees Blog. I loved Peter's work and as a huge Yankees fan (I'll be sharing news on my own new Yankees Blog very soon). I follow a few blogs for each MLB team, and I'll certainly be adding his new Red Sox blog to my list. The Boston Globe sports section just became relevant again.

Here's a small sample:
Chad covered the Triple-A Yankees with distinction and his blog was a must-read for Yankee fans who wanted to be up to date on the organization’s prospects. Chad has a knack for blogging and is a fine writer and reporter.

As somebody who once covered the Double-A Yankees, I believe there is a lot of value in having a reporter who started in the minors and worked his way up. Chad is a young guy with a lot of ambition and knowledge of baseball and he’s the perfect choice to take over this blog.

Over at Athletics Nation they are discussing the 2010 roster and which players should be o n it. Every aspiring or returning fantasy league champ can use articles like this to get a little closer to the thinking of the front office and the most loyal fans.

Here's a small sample:
As much as I love Rajai Davis, never has the phrase "sell high" been more apropos. Unless we really believe he can hit .360 for half a season ever again in his career, it might be worth entertaining some offers. If not, we have a very fast leadoff or number two hitter for next season. The A's will also have to make a decision on Adam Kennedy (and third base), and it's possible they aren't fully committed to Jack Cust and/or Scott Hairston as full-time players next season. Have the A's found the shortstop answer in Cliff Pennington (and we're assuming that 30 year old Free Agent Bobby Crosby will finally leave Oakland) or are they still searching for something they haven't had since Miguel Tejada (coincidentally, who is a FA of his own this year)?
Lou Piniella described what he expects his 2010 pitching staff to look like and he gets very specific about it in this Chicago Tribune article. The article focuses on the Cubs apparently allowing Rich Harden to depart via free agency. I found the the quote about Jeff Samardzija to be pretty interesting...

Here's a small sample:
"You look at our starting pitching here for next year," Piniella said. "You've got (Carlos) Zambrano, you've got (Ryan) Dempster, you've got (Randy) Wells, you've got (Ted) Lilly, you've got (Tom) Gorzelanny, and you've got (Jeff) Samardzija, who is going to go to winter ball. And if this kid keeps improving, he'll be right in the mix. So we've got six nice arms."
Mike Pelfrey's season has mercifully come to an end and Matt Cerrone of MetsBlog, examines his season and what went wrong. I still think Pelfrey has some good years coming. I'm just not certain what I'd bet to have him on my teams...

Here's a small sample:
that said, he was pitching in front of a terrible, ever-changing, often-out-of-place defense… also, he seemed to get more ground balls than in previous seasons, and that is important for him to be effective… the problem was his walks, and putting himself in a position to fail, which is something no pitcher should do with that sort of defense behind him…
Tommy Rancel of D'Rays Bay is predicting that Matt Joyce will take over right field for the Rays in 2010. He also sees Gabe Gross as a potential non-tender. I actually thought the Rays were going to give Joyce that shot this season mostly based on Joyce's solid rookie season with the Detroit Tigers. Joyce was traded for Edwin Jackson, a move that at this point heavily favors the Tigers but that could be changing in 2010.

Sports: A Game of Inches has a nice piece on Jonny Gomes and his improvements this season. Those of you who have read my stuff for a while know I've been on that bandwagon. I called him potentially the next David Ortiz. This article breaks down his tools and skills very well and will give you a true sense of his value and upside.

Here's a small sample:
But let's not be too hard on Gomes here. A marginally better than league average walk rate is nothing to sneer at when paired with legitimate power (.230 career ISO) and defense skills that are only half as crappy as his predecessor. In fact, in less than half as many PA's as Adam Dunn this season, Jonny Gomes has been, when you combine and compare offensive and defensive production, exactly half as valuable as Adam Dunn this season. Extrapolated, that insinuates that two have the same production rate per game for their respective teams. Such is true for 2009, but is this a legitimate expectation for 2010 and going forward?
If you enjoy the MLB offseason as much as I do, you should like this piece by BUCCOfans.com. They examine the needs of the Pittsburgh Pirates and a few of their potential targets come the free-agency period. According to their calculations the Pirates have nearly $20 million to spend. I'm sure a good portion of that will go to raises and arbitration but they should be able to add a quality bat and do some bargain hunting for bullpen arms.

Here's a small sample:
The first thing anyone should say is "we've heard this before". Many will point to last year when Neal Huntington said "we're going after a right handed power bat, a starting pitcher, and a bullpen arm". He came away with Eric Hinske, Virgil Vasquez, and Chris Bootcheck, although it should be noted that Daniel Cabrera, Rocco Baldelli, and Derrick Turnbow all turned down more money to play elsewhere (although that's not really a bad thing for the Pirates).
The Red Sox desperately need to re-sign Jason Bay. Bay is their primary power source and a key element in the middle of their lineup. Unfortunately for Boston fans, the Red Sox underestimated what it would take to re-sign him and will now most likely have to compete with other teams for his services. The New York Yankees could be lurking, ready to steal another Red Sox target from under their noses. The Bottom Line (a quality Red Sox blog) examines this situation.

Here's a small sample:
My point is this... Teixeira got away and now he's a major part of why the Yankees are the World Series favorites. If they win it all this season, many will say that they "bought" another ring with the huge contracts they dished out this offseason, but the Red Sox can't afford to let another potential "anchor" sign with someone else.