As always, this early in the season the temptation to be more active than necessary strikes most of us.This is especially true if your team starts slow. But stay pateint. Replace your injured players or players sent back to the minors and stay the course on the players you drafted with faith not all that long ago.
Bats:
Connor Gillespie 3B Chicago White Sox - He is not expected to get a ton of at-bats but if he continues to hit as he did in his first start that could change. Gillespie was a former prospect of the San Francisco Giants that held more potential than results but scouts did like him. He is still young enough to have an impact. Owners with open bench spots could do a lot worse. Minimal Bid
Blake Lalli C/1B Milwaukee Brewers - Called up with Narveson's placement on the disabled list and the transfer of Corey Hart to the 60-Day Disabled List. Hart is now out until at least May 30th which is a lot later than many of us expected. Lalli had a solid Spring Traing batting .286 for the Brewers. He consistently hit for high batting averages in the lower minors but has little homerun power. He has struggled to hit at double-A and Triple-A and is unlikely to be a boon to mixed league rosters. He may be of minimal use in deep NL-only leagues especially in two catcher leagues. Minimal Bid
Martin Maldonado C Milwaukee Brewers - Has been playing first base but has struggled to handle the position defensively. He was not much of a hitter in the minor leagues but was quite effective at the plate when Jonathan LuCroy was injured during the 2012 season. As a second catcher in NL leagues he could be a fair pick. Minimal Bid
Jayson Nix 2B, SS, 3B New York Yankees - Nix has started the season strongly and the injury to Eduardo Nunez only helps him gain playing time. He is only a fair hitter without great power or speed. His versatile glove and decent bat does come in handy on deep AL-only rosters. Minimal Bid
Josh Prince SS/OF Milwaukee Brewers - He was not a great prospect but gained a few fans by batting .404 with 14 RBI and 10 stolen bases in 25 games in the Arizona Fall League. Originally a shortstop the Brewers have decided to convert him into a Jerry Hairston-like utility player who plays all over the field. His bat is ultimately mediocre but he has the speed to steal 40-plus bases if he were to get a full season of at-bats. His versatility makes him a useful player to have on deep NL rosters. Minimal Bid
Pitchers:
Kevin Correia SP Minnesota Twins - You will not gain any strikeouts but Correia is a competent pitcher that should be effective in front of the Twins strong defense and playing in their large pitching oriented park. He is better owned by owners that can move him on and off their active rosters. Minimal Bid
Jeremy Hefner SP New York Mets - Hefner is
not a strikeout pitcher but has pretty good control and plays in a park
and for a team that suits his skills very well. He should be a decent
starter for owners that can move starters on and off their rosters. He becomes more of a risk in better hitting environments. Minimal Bid
Joe Ortiz RP Texas and Robbie Ross RP Texas - Ortiz and Ross are both great players to stash on a large bench. They have both strikeouts and saves potential. Ross is more likely to start in a pinch than Ortiz Minimal Bid
James Russell RP Chicago Cubs - Cubs manager Dale Sveum named Russell a potential closer if Carlos Marmol and Kyuji Fujukawa both continue to struggle. That alone makes him worth a minimal bid. Russell is not a great pitcher but has been a reasonably effective middle reliever. Minimal Bid
Joe Saunders SP Seattle Mariners - The stat guys do not like Saunders but he continues to be an effective major league starter. The strikeouts will not be big but he should also provide solid help particularly to AL-only rosters.
Tuesday, April 09, 2013
Early FAAB Bids - Lalli, Gillespie, Prince, Hefner, Russell
Thursday, April 04, 2013
American League Closer Update: Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers have signed their former cloiser, Jose Valverde to a minor league deal according to a series of tweets from Patrick Reusse of ESPN Radio.
Patrick Reusse @1500ESPN_Reusse
1h
Patrick Reusse
Jose Valverde has signed a minor-league contract w/ the Tigers.
Dave Dombrowski said Papa Grande will do some throwing in Lakeland, then (presumably) join Class AAA Toledo. No timetable.
The Tigers expected Hector Rondon to become their closer prior to Spring Training but Rondon proved not ready for the job and was sent to the minors. The Tigers opened the season with a closer committee but it has not been a huge success thus far. Benoit has failed in both his save attempts and the games had to be saved by Phil Coke who Jim Leyland has insisted he prefers in a lefty relief role and not as the closer. Obviously, Valverde is now next in line for saves.
Detroit Tigers
Short-Term Closer - Phil Coke
Closer-In-Waiting - Jose Valverde
Future Closer – Bruce Rondon
Next – Joaquin Benoit
Sleeper – Al Alburquerque
Super-Sleeper – Octavio Dotel
Monday, April 01, 2013
2013 Fantasy Baseball Opening Day
Happy Opening Day!
Many of us will watch games today without knowing the composition of our fantasy teams thanks to an inconveniently scheduled Easter holiday. I really do not like drafting after the season starts because I think it warps auction prices. Players who start fast go for more and slow starters get less. That annoys me.
I love that a couple of teams have chosen to bring some of their best prospects to the major leagues without trying to weasel an extra year of service by forcing them to spend another month in the minors. If they're ready let them play.
Lots of folks were shocked to hear that the Rangers had signed shortstop Elvis Andrus to an eight-year extension to his contract worth 120 million dollars. The Rangers have Jurickson Profar, for whom various media analysts keep expecting the Rangers to open a spot via trade. The Rangers have refused to part with any part of their core and Andrus is part of that. People forget that Andrus will be just 24-years old this season. He is not even close to what he could be at the peak of his powers. He he has power potential that he has yet to realize because he is still slapping most pitches into the dirt to take advantage of his speed. But the Rangers understand and I assume will continue to work with him on becoming the best player he can be.
Have fun today!
Many of us will watch games today without knowing the composition of our fantasy teams thanks to an inconveniently scheduled Easter holiday. I really do not like drafting after the season starts because I think it warps auction prices. Players who start fast go for more and slow starters get less. That annoys me.
I love that a couple of teams have chosen to bring some of their best prospects to the major leagues without trying to weasel an extra year of service by forcing them to spend another month in the minors. If they're ready let them play.
- Jackie Bradley Jr. will man left field for the Boston Red Sox at least until David Ortiz comes off the disabled list. I think he'll stick around if he is a productive part of the lineup. Bradley should hit for average with average power and good speed - 10-15 homers and 15-20 stolen bases is a decent possibility. He could be a 20/20 as he nears his prime.
- The Marlins have placed Jose Fernandez, a former Cuban defector, into their starting pitcher rotation. Fernandez has been praised for his work ethic and leadership on the field. He does not have much experience in the minors but many scouts seem to think he can handle it. The weird part is that he spent so little time in major league camp but made the team anyway. Fernandez is an ace in the making and a less hyped version of Dylan Bundy (without the strange diet and arm stiffness).
- Evan Gattis will be on the Braves bench and is expected to get some time on the outfield corners and as an emergency catcher. Peter Gammons compares him to Josh Willingham and he does have that sort of power. The playing time is not there but he might make a decent second catcher if you're a fan of the one dollar catcher idea.
- The Brewers are loaded with rookies: shortstop Jean Segura, pitchers Mike Fiers, Alfredo Figaro, Jim Henderson and Wily Peralta, catcher Martin Maldonado and outfielders Khris Davis and Logan Schafer. Segura is the most relevant to fantasy owners. He should provide owners with late round speed for their middle infield spot.
Lots of folks were shocked to hear that the Rangers had signed shortstop Elvis Andrus to an eight-year extension to his contract worth 120 million dollars. The Rangers have Jurickson Profar, for whom various media analysts keep expecting the Rangers to open a spot via trade. The Rangers have refused to part with any part of their core and Andrus is part of that. People forget that Andrus will be just 24-years old this season. He is not even close to what he could be at the peak of his powers. He he has power potential that he has yet to realize because he is still slapping most pitches into the dirt to take advantage of his speed. But the Rangers understand and I assume will continue to work with him on becoming the best player he can be.
Have fun today!
Friday, March 29, 2013
Building A Fantasy Baseball Plan
This is an excerpt of an article I wrote for the April 1st issue of Big Leagues Magazine. You should subcribe there is a ton of great fantasy info in every issue.
Your keepers should always fit your overall plans. If they do not fit your plan, you may want to come up with a new plan (or at least get trading for players that do fit). You should always rank your potential keepers in the order in which they can help your winning strategy. If you plan to focus on high average power hitters to complement your cheap (but great) starting pitching, an at value Prince Fielder is probably a better keeper than your slightly underpriced Garrett Jones. You want your keepers to work with your strengths not against them. Your great starting pitching is less effective if you also keep your one dollar Carlos Zambrano because he used to be your favorite Cubs starter.Now, just because your primary strategy is built on high average power hitters and great starting pitchers, that does not mean that you should toss back your $10 Jean Segura. Segura may not hit for power or much of a batting average but his indicators suggest his average will not be a negative and his steals potential may make it much easier for you to concentrate on the power hitters during the draft. The same cannot be said about your $15 Everth Cabrera who may steal a ton of bases but has the potential to pull down your team batting average. It may be possible to account for this drag but a better idea is to trade for a player or players that better fit your strategy. Cabrera for $15 Andrelton Simmons may cost you five bucks but also save you the hassle of trying to balance a bad BA player before the draft even starts.You also need to study the rosters of your competitors. You should have your best guess at the keepers on the other teams before deciding on yours. This is important because keepers can take a huge chunk out of the potential player pool on several levels. You could find that certain positions are going to be extremely scarce on Draft Day. If ten of the 15 potential closers in your 12-team league are held by the owners of just six teams buying a closer at the draft could get expensive. That might make your $18 Rafael Betancourt a better keeper than you originally supposed. The players you should be the players that will help you win. Values and profits are very important but the way they fit into your draft strategy is just as important.
Thursday, March 28, 2013
2013 All Fantasy Baseball Sleepers Team
The annual All-Sleeper Team has arrived. This report has taken many forms but as always it is jam packed with names for your consideration. There are at least three names listed at every position. If you like this article please share it (with strangers if not your league mates).
Relievers
Catchers
Jesus Montero, Seattle Mariners
Here are some stats for Montero that you may have missed - he hit 310/343/498 last year when playing behind the plate; on the road he batted .295/.330/.438 with nine homeruns in 258 at-bats; and his HR/FB was a healthy 13.4 percent on the road. Did you know that in 2012 Safeco Field tended to reduce right-handed power by 30 percent? Runs were reduced by 22 percent. The Seattle Mariners are attempting to move their park factors closer to neutral in 2013 by bringing in the outfield walls. Safeco will still be a tough park for hitters but it should be a little less intimidating this season. Montero still has superstar potential.
UPSIDE: .280/.330/.480 with 25 homeruns
Erik Kratz,
Philadelphia Phillies
Erik Kratz has been around for a while. He has a great
reputation as a defensive catcher. Supposedly, pitchers love to throw to him.
His bat looks better than the average catcher and his power looks like it
could be around league average if not a bit better. Last season in the minors
he hit .266/.326/.540 with eight homers in 141 plate appearances. He was called
up to the Phillies and received 157 PA in which he batted .248/.306/.504 with
nine homeruns. He was scheduled to spend 2013 in the majors as a back-up but
thanks to Carlos Ruiz getting himself suspended, Kratz figures to get an extra month
of starter at-bats. He should be more than worth his purchase price.
UPSIDE: 350abs, .250/.310/.460 with 15 homers and a few
stolen bases.
Others to Consider:
Jason Castro, Houston Astros; John Jaso, Oakland Athletics; Rob Brantley, Miami Marlins
First Basemen
Ike Davis, New York Mets
Davis began the 2012 season recovering from the Valley Fever
which can severely weaken people for long periods. Davis chose not to complain
about it but after the season finally admitted that he was not right the first
few months of the season. His second half was a better indication of what Davis
can do. He batted .255/.346/.542 with 20 homers in his last 251 at-bats. Davis
has seen more than his fair share of injury and illness in his short career. It
is possible that some of your league mates will perceive him as injury prone or
even as a mediocre hitter. Do not believe it. Davis has very good power and has
the patience and discipline to hit for a solid batting average (a skill
becoming more rare).
UPSIDE: .275/.365/.500 with 35-plus homeruns
Others to Consider: Brandon Belt, San Francisco Giants; Logan Morrison, Miami Marlins;
Second Basemen
2B Matt Carpenter,
St. Louis Cardinals
In the minor leagues Matt Carpenter has produced numbers that would mediocre at best coming from your first baseman or outfielder. But at second base (particularly in NL-only leagues) he would be a very solid fantasy option. He hits for a solid to good batting average with a strong on-base percentage driven by above average walk rates and improving contact skills. He has average or maybe slightly better power and should safely hit in the 10-15 homer range every season with more a clear possibility as he gains experience. He does not have great speed but will steal the occasional base given the opportunity. Best of all, manager Mike Matheny seems to like him and has projected him as a potential leadoff hitter. He only qualifies at the corners for now in most leagues but should be eligible at second within the first week or so of the regular season.
UPSIDE: .290/.370/.470 with 15-18 homeruns and a few stolen bases and a ton of runs scored
Others to Consider: Dustin Ackley, Seattle Mariners; Gordon Beckham, Chicago White Sox
Third Basemen
3B Josh Donaldson,
Oakland Athletics
Donaldson’s numbers as a major leaguer look mediocre
overall. It would be pretty easy for a fantasy owner to overlook a player with
a .232/.280/.386 slash in 328 plate appearances. However, he hit a very solid .290/.356/.489
with eight homers, 26 RBI and three steals in 47 games after returning from a stint at
Triple-A. Donaldson is just 27-years old and general
manager Billy Beane has declared
that Donaldson will be the starter at third base in 2013. While 47 games is
just a small sample of Donaldson’s season – his line at AAA Sacramento was
.335/.402/.598 with 13 homers and five steals in 234 plate appearances. Donaldson
has BABIP issues. Last season in the majors it was just .278 (far below
average) and an indication that his poor start to the season was at least to
some degree bad luck.
UPSIDE: .280/.350/.450 with 15-20 homers and 5-10 stolen
bases.
Others to Consider: Brett Lawrie, Toronto Blue Jays; Lonnie Chisenhall, Cleveland Indians;
Shortstops
SS Cliff Pennington, Arizona Diamondbacks
Cliff Pennington is not popular among fantasy owners. He does not hit for much power and his batting average at times has been pathetic. So why is he listed here? He has skills and tools that indicate he has not reached his full potential just yet. Pennington has tremendous speed and solid base stealing skills. He has solid patience at the plate and makes decent contact. Now he is moving from Oakland's tough pitcher centric park into the Diamondback's Chase Field which favors hitters. He has been working with Diamondbacks hitting coach Don Baylor on shortening his swing. If his BABIP bounces back from his career low .259 in 2012 towards his career levels he could have a very nice season at a weak fantasy position.
UPSIDE: .275/.350/.425 with 10-12 homers and 25-plus stolen bases and a truckload of runs if he leads off.
Others to Consider: Manny Machado, Baltimore Orioles; Jean Segura, Milwaukee Brewers
Outfielders
OF/1B Chris Carter,
Houston Astros
Chris Carter is seen as a player with tremendous power who
is not a talented enough hitter to be a star in the Major Leagues. In
actuality, 2012 was Carter’s first extended opportunity to play in the major
leagues. He does in fact have massive power but he also has more patience at
the plate than his K-rate would seem to indicate. His strikeout rates were not
so bad in the minors and he even showed some ability to hit for average. He is
moving from one of the better pitchers’ parks in baseball to one that actually
boosts right-handed power stats. In 2013 you could see a decent batting average
with gargantuan power (nice to have with overall power numbers dropping).
UPSIDE: .270/.370/.550 with 30-plus homers and a few stolen bases
OF Jose Tabata OF
Pittsburgh Pirates
How good does Travis Snider have to be to keep Tabata on the
bench all season. Admittedly Tabata has fallen off the last few years. But he was once lauded for his power potential and showed a knack for base stealing. He kicked off Spring Training looking determined to win back at least a share of the job starting in the outfield corners. At this point it looks like Snider will start but Tabata has made the team. His price should be ultra low and Snider has not been much better than Tabata as a major leaguer. He makes an excellent flyer in deep NL-only leagues or in deep mixed leagues with bench spots.
UPSIDE: .275/.340/.400 with ten homers and 20-plus stolen bases
OF Jordany Valdespin, New York Mets
His Spring Training performance has probably jacked up his price on those of us with post-Easter drafts this year. The Mets have no established outfielders on their roster coming into the 2013 season. This has provided Valdespin and others with a fantastic opportunity for Major League playing time. He is not a patient hitter but makes excellent contact. He has the power to hit 15-20 homers and the speed to steal 20-plus bases in a full season.
UPSIDE: .280/.340/.440 with 15-plus homers and 20-plus stolen bases
OF J.D. Martinez,
Houston Astros
He is a tough pick since he will begin the season in the
minor leagues. With a career batting line of just .252/.313/.375 it would be
easy to dismiss Martinez as just another mediocre Astros outfielder. You would
be missing out on a player with huge breakout potential. In the 603 at-bats
that led to the line above Martinez hit 17 homeruns and collected 90 RBI. It
becomes even more encouraging when you know his career minor league batting
line was .334/.397/.532 in over 1200 minor league at-bats. He certainly has no
obstacles to consistent playing time. Special thanks should go to my friend
Dave McKay of thefantasysportsbrain.com
who likes him even more than me.
UPSIDE: .300/.360/.450 15-20 homeruns and the odd stolen base
OF Andy Dirks,
Detroit Tigers
It would be easy to dismiss Dirks as a BABIP fluke and pass
on him during fantasy drafts. That might be a mistake. Dirks has a track record
of high BABIP and high batting averages in the minors. Dirks is a strong
contact hitter with some patience at the plate. He swings at too many pitches
out of the zone but makes much better than average contact. He is not a power
hitter but with an uptick to his plate discipline he could hit for average
power. His Achilles issue kept his decent speed under wraps but Dirks has the
skills to steal bases. There is some talk of Dirks platooning with Avisail
Garcia. That seems unlikely but even if true; Dirks would be on the strong side
of it.
UPSIDE: .300/.350/.450 with 15-20 homeruns and 10-15 steals
Others to Consider: Colin Cowgill, New York Mets; Gerardo Parra, Arizona Diamondbacks; Lorenzo Cain, Kansas City Royals; Peter Bourjos, Los Angeles Angels; Nolan Reimold, Baltimore Orioles
Middle Infielders
MI Eric Young, Jr., Colorado Rockies
Eric Young has been neglected by the Rockies for a long time. He has awesome stolen base potential. He makes excellent contact and has shown patience at the plate. He should hit for average if given consistent at-bats and new manager Walt Weiss seems determined to make better use of Young. He only qualifies at outfield in most leagues at this point but could see time all over the field. He came up as a second baseman.
UPSIDE: .290/.350/.425 with 40-plus steals and a few homers
Others to Consider: Luis Cruz, Los Angeles Dodgers; Eduardo Nunez, New York Yankees
Corner Infielders
3B Matt Dominguez, Houston Astros
His strength as a Marlins prospect was his excellent glove. Scouts believed in the potential in his bat but there was very little statistical evidence that he could hit. Last year he began to work on his swing with coaches and changing his hand position to create less
movement and a shorter swing path. The results have been promising. At his present ADP he will cost nothing so the risk is minimal. The payoff could be pretty good especially relative to his cost.
UPSIDE: .290/.330/.450 with 15-plus homers
Others to Consider: Justin Smoak, Seattle Mariners; Brett Wallace, Houston Astros
Designated Hitters
DH Adam Lind, Toronto
Blue Jays
After his stint in the minor leagues Lind was an above
average player in every remaining month of the season. Health is obviously the
largest obstacle between Lind and a full season of statistics worthy of a major
league first baseman. In an off- season where the Blue Jays have filled every
hole on the roster and added a ton of depth, they have done nothing to indicate
they have lost faith in their first baseman (well, besides move him to
designated hitter). See
my article for an expanded look at Adam Lind.
UPSIDE: .280/.350/.500 with 30 homers
Others to Consider: Jeff Keppinger, Chicago White Sox; Raul Ibanez, Seattle Mariners
Starting Pitchers
SP Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers
Not every pitcher develops as quickly as Stephen Strasburg. Justin Verlander took a few years to put it together. The same is true with Cole Hamels and David Price. Scherzer showed many signs of reaching his incredible potential during the 2012 season. His K9 took a big jump supported by a similar jump in his swinging strike rate. His solid control and strikeouts limit the damage down by his less than ideal HR9.
UPSIDE: 20 wins, 3.50 ERA and 250 strikeouts
SP Jaime Garcia, St.
Louis Cardinals
The fraying in his shoulder will keep a lot of owners away
from Jaime Garcia. It will also bring his price way down, possibly into the
lower single digits. That provides you with an opportunity to purchase a very
talented pitcher on the cheap. Garcia has a great swinging strike rate with a
solid K9 that should improve. He has good control and a nice groundball rate. He
plays for a very good Cardinals team with a nice defense. For what should be a very small investment
you could win big. Garcia is already throwing and will face hitters today
(Saturday, Feb. 16th).
UPSIDE: 15 wins and an ERA< 3.50
SP Phil Hughes, New York Yankees
The mini-Rocket has not reached the once lofty heights the
Yankees were hoping he would. He has been solid and flashed some of the
greatest but has not been able to sustain it for any great length of time. In
2012 his swinging strike rate jumped back up and his K9 jumped with it. With
some regression to his HR/FB, Hughes could have a big season in 2013 leading
into his first shot at free agency.
UPSIDE: 15 wins and an ERA < 4.00
SP Kyle Kendrick, Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Kendrick has been nothing if not inconsistent in his
time spent as a major league pitcher but has usually posted acceptable ERAs and
WHIPs. But his strikeout rates have left much to be desired. He won't be confused with Stephen Strasburg anytime soon but thanks to a change in his pitch usage he seems to have
hit on the key to greater dominance. He has reduced his use of the cutter in
favor of his 2-seam fastball (a sinker) and his change-up. The result was a K9
over 6.0 for the season and approaching 7.0 K9 in the second half. If the
improved strikeout rate sticks with his control (2.60 career BB9) and strong
groundball rate (45.8 career GB percentage) he could be a huge breakout pitcher
this season.
UPSIDE: 12-plus wins and an ERA < 4.00
SP Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers
Many forget that Porcello is still just 24-years old. He
spent very little time in the minors and has been forced to develop his skills
on the major league stage. Given the way he has been thrown to the metaphorical
wolves, Porcello has done quite well. The perception of Porcello is no doubt as
an average or perhaps slightly above average starting pitcher. What is not as
obvious to most observers is how much the Tigers awful defensive infield hurts
Porcello. Porcello is a groundball pitcher (52.3 career GB percentage) and
defense matters to him a great deal. His velocity has been on the rise and he
now pitches in the low to mid 90’s. His strikeouts have been lower than fantasy
owners would like to see but his K9 has seen small increases the last two
seasons and his swinging strike rate has also risen to nearly average. If his
slider had been more effective in 2012 it may have gotten all the way there. He
has been emphasizing his curveball as an alternative to the slider this spring
with great results. This is a pitcher who could explode on the scene if traded
to a team with an effective infield defense (the Orioles would be a great spot
for him).
UPSIDE: 15 wins and an ERA < 3.75
Others to Consider: Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians; Brian
Matusz, Baltimore Orioles; Jacob Turner, Miami Marlins; Erasmo Ramirez, Seattle
Mariners; David Phelps, New York Yankees
MR Christian Garcia
RHP Washington Nationals
He will be a bit late to start the 2013 season but in keeper
leagues that should not be a major problem. His late arrival will also reduce
his already low cost. Garcia was a top prospect of the New York Yankees but a
series of elbow problems prevented him from pitching much and eventually robbed
him of his stellar stuff. After two Tommy John Surgeries and a third procedure
to remove bone chips, the Nationals picked him up and placed him in the
bullpen. His high nineties stuff was back and his hammer curve was back and his
change-up is solid. Saves are probably not in his near future but stranger
things have happened.
UPSIDE: 65 IP, 2.90 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 10K9, 3.00BB9,
MR Sean Doolittle LHP Oakland Athletics
The one pitcher that you should be looking for in the Athletics bullpen is Sean Doolittle.
He was drafted with the 41st overall pick as a first baseman but knee
injuries almost ended his career. The A’s converted him to pitching and
rushed him through the system in 2012. From Class A to the Major Leagues
- 17 games, 26 innings, 1.04 earned run average, 50 strikeouts, 8
walks. He has a very deceptive delivery and a blazing mid-90s fastball.
He could stabilize the A’s closer position for several years.
UPSIDE: 20 saves with a ridiculous K9
MR Kelvin Herrera, Kansas City Royals
Herrera has it all. He has the strikeout rate, excellent control and a
great ground ball rate.Herrera is good enough to be worth drafting in
deeper leagues even without the possibility of saves.If the Royals
regain faith in Herrera's health they could potentially place him back
in a starting role where he would have frontline pitcher stuff.
UPSIDE: Superb ratios with 15-plus saves and 80-plus strikeouts
Others to Consider: Jake McGee, Tampa Bay Rays; J.J. Hoover, Cincinnati Reds; Junichi Tazawa, Boston Red Sox
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
2013 Closer Update: Atlanta Braves
Johnny Venters has a sprain in his elbow and is likely to start the season on the disabled list. As if this was not bad enough news for Braves fans, Jordan Walden, who would seem the most likely candidate to replace Venters as next-in-line to Craig Kimbrel, has been dealing with abulging disc in his back and is also questionable to start the season on the 25-man roster. This makes Eric O'Flaherty the primary set-up man for a while. Kimbrel is still a safe bet as the closer but the Braves bullpen beyond him is in a period of instability.
The Braves are holding the best closer in the league and one of the best
bullpen staffs. Craig Kimbrel is as dominating as they come with a
16.66 K9 in 2012. His continually improving control just makes him look
better and better, his BB9 has improved every season to 2.01 in 2012.
Johnny Venters was hit a little harder than usual in 2012 but on the
surface his indicating stats are mostly unchanged. Although Venters
continued to throw in the mid-90s he did see his velocity reduced by
around 1MPH. Walden was the closer for the Los Angeles Angels in 2011
and with a solid performance this spring could move ahead of Venters in
the closer rankings. Walden throws in the high 90s (though he too saw
his velocity reduced a bit in 2012) and strikes out more than a btter
per inning but has the type of control that can make managers nervous in
the ninth.
Atlanta Braves
Closer – Craig Kimbrel
Disabled – Johnny Venters
Disabled – Jordan Walden
Temporary
Next– Eric O’Flaherty
Saturday, March 23, 2013
2013 Closer Update: St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
Disabled – Jason Motte
Acting Closer – Mitchell Boggs
Next - Trevor Rosenthal
Super-Sleeper – Fernando Salas
Closer Jason Motte is likely to open the season on the 15-Day Disabled List due to what is being called a mild elbow strain. An MRI revealed no damage to the ligament but a slight tear to the tendon. General Manager John Mozeliak declared that Mitchell Boggs would be the interim closer with Trevor Rosenthal likely to move into the set-up role.
Motte, who became the Cardinals closer late in 2011, tied for the National League lead with 42 saves last season.
The righty last pitched Thursday. He threw an inning against the Mets. His final pitch of a scoreless inning was 97 mph.
He felt stiffness in his right elbow on the bus ride returning from Port St. Lucie, Fla. Motte described how the elbow felt sore as he reached for his cell phone and that led him to the trainers' room when he got back to the Jupiter complex.
"It tightened up a little bit in my forearm," Motte said. "I felt fine out there (on the mound). It says it's a little muscle strain, it's a little tight. I did all my arm stuff afterward (and) felt fine. I don't know if it was the adrenaline or whatever but I didn't feel anything when I was throwing."
The team has attacked the inflammation in the elbow with the usual treatments, Motte said: ice, stimulation, and some anti-inflammatory medicine.
It had increased by Friday morning, when the team then took him for an MRI of the joint. That was when the tear was discovered. The initial treatment is to tame the inflammation in the joint so that a clearer sense of the damage can be measured.
Jason Motte has been drafted as a top 4-5 closer in many early leagues.
He gives his owners more innings than the typical closer thanks to his
frequent use in the eighth inning. He throws in the high 90s with
excellent control and an improving swinging strike rate and K9 rate. He
is as locked into the role as any closer can be these days. His manager
seems to have a great deal of faith in him and he has delivered nearly
every time.
Mitchell Boggs is a hard throwing right-hander with a mid-90s fastball. He has an average Swinging Strike Rate and a middling K9 for a potential closer. He has ok control and induces a high rate of groundballs (career 52.4 percent). His career high for saves is four gained during the 2011 season..
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