Showing posts with label Sleepers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sleepers. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Ten Players I Love More Than You


I stole this idea from the Yahoo! Sports Columnists who posted their lists on Friday. This is not a top ten to draft list. This is a list of the guys I want to own in almost every draft this year. Guys I will draft far ahead of their ADP, that will I spend the extra dollar to own for the 2012 season.

Brandon McCarthy - I love Brandon McCarthy. He was always expected to be a very good MLB starter. He just kept getting hurt and when he was healthy he failed to deliver. Then he read Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game and decided he needed to get more groundballs and more strikeouts. It is a great story, but more importantly he succeeded. Oklahoma City pitching coach, Terry Clark, helped him make a mechanical change.
Watching video of McCarthy's extreme overhand motion, Clark realized that the pitcher's arm was pronating at the moment of delivery, and the pressure was twisting his scapula. "It was really ugly," says Clark. "He's lucky his scapula was the only thing that broke." Clark had McCarthy drop down to a more natural three-quarter arm angle, like Halladay's. McCarthy's whole motion became a study in minimalism. Less right arm, more back leg. No more falling off the mound toward first base.
Do what it take to grab this guy while you still can. He has greatly improved skills, mechanics that should help him stay healthier in addition to helping him get more outs. There seem to be very few believers out there. Maybe because you thought the Athletics had traded their best starter away. They didn't.

B.J. Upton -
I loved him as a prospect and he disappointed and I avoided him for a few years. However, it looks like he has begun to put things together. He finished the 2011 season impressively, with what seemed to be a better approach. This comes as he approaches Free Agency for the first time. A contract year, improved skills and a better approach come together for a career year.

Alex Gordon - Despite his obvious improvement at the end of the 2010 season and his breakout 2011 season, Gordon is still being drafted later than he should. Maybe it has something to do with being one of the older young guys on the Kansas City Royals. It could be that his initial disappointments have turned potential owners off. Either way, I think he will hit for a great batting average, 25-30 homers and 20 steals.

Logan Morrison - The knee injury this spring is annoying but not dissuading me from drafting him. I see a player who has the skills to hit .300 and the power to blast 30 homers out of any park. Morrison ran into some bad luck with the broken hand in 2009 (which sapped his power in 2010) and the unfair demotion last season. He only needs to get a full season of at-bats to reach 30 homers, with some skill improvement it could be more. He hits like Joey Votto and you can get him 10 rounds later in a lot of drafts.

Curtis Granderson - Everyone is assuming that Granderson won't repeat his amazing 2011 season. Maybe he won't. I see an already great player in his prime who took some advice from a great batting coach that allowed him to tap into his full potential. I think a 30/30 season is a cinch. In my eyes he is more likely to go 50/50 than Matt Kemp.

Rex Brothers - I am absolutely certain you have heard about Kenley Jansen. You have at least read (if not been convinced) that Jansen will at some point snatch the closer job of the Los Angeles Dodgers away from Javy Guerra, who has done nothing to lose his job at this point.

Rex Brothers has every ounce of ability that Jansen has and is as likely (if not more so) to take the Colorado Rockies closer job from Rafael Betancourt. Betancourt has been a great reliever for a long time. He has been given the opportunity to close in the past and has always blown it. Maybe that's just coincidence or maybe it is a lack of guile or something.

Alexi Casilla - Maybe you have forgotten the lofty expectations once placed on Casilla's shoulders. Between disappointing seasons and injuries, it is easy to understand why you may not even have him on your cheat sheet. He dominated in the Dominican Winter League, batting .336 (runner-up for the batting title) and as of Sunday he was batting .357 in the Grapefruit League. He says he is in a better mental state than last season and his confidence is soaring. If he can stay healthy I expect great things.

He isn't afraid to take a walk and is an excellent contact hitter. He has more discipline at the plate than you may realize. He rarely swings at pitches out the strike zone and again, makes excellent contact. That and his speed is a recipe for a better batting average and with some BABIP luck I think he could hit over .300 this season. In a neutral park he could probably hit ten homers, but we'll be happy with whatever he provides as long as he comes through with the 30 steals. Draft him as your MI and reap the benefits.

Jed Lowrie - This is a tough player to evaluate because of the injuries and the variety of skills he has shown and then not shown at different times. He has looked like an above average defensive player, he has also looked like a below average defensive player. He has shown the ability to hit for power and to hit for average. He is a very intelligent player, he just finished his degree in political science from Stanford University. Unfortunately, injuries have sucked up a lot of the time he should have been developing into one of the better fantasy shortstops in the game.

The good news is that Lowrie is still just 26-years old and just entering his prime years. He is finally healthy coming into the 2012 season. He has swung a hot bat this swing - batting .348/.464/.609 as of yesterday. He fouled a ball off his foot and will miss just one game that he was not likely to travel for anyway. I think he'll hit for a strong batting average, get on base a ton and slug 20-plus homers. That is an awesome return on a late-round shortstop.

Luke Hochevar - The pedigree is first rate. He was expected to be an ace. A real ace, not just the number one starter by default. He has shown us flashes in the past and then failed to deliver the following season. Check out these numbers from after the All Star Break - 79.1 IP, 3.52 ERA, .222 BAA, 68 strikeouts, 24 walks and 6-3 record in 12 starts. That may not be an ace but it is a massive improvement. You can draft him extremely late so the risk is minimal.

Jason Heyward - Last but not even close to least is The New Kid, Jason Heyward. The 2011 season was obviously a disaster for the young Atlanta Brave. Few realize that Heyward first hurt his shoulder in April, he played through it but re-aggravated it and even though his numbers sunk he kept trying to play through it. Probably because he did not like how he had been labeled injury-prone after the 2010 season. The shoulder injury warped his swing and he got into bad habits and finally with everything out of whack he was sat on the bench to watch someone else do his job.

This off-season he changed his diet, improved and increased his workouts and came into camp a lean mean machine. He worked hard with the team coaches and Chipper Jones to get his swing back and they think they have it. He struggled the first two weeks of the Spring season (as did most of the Braves) but has hit a couple of massive blasts since the team started winning spring games. He can hit for average and power and steal bases. He is in a solid lineup and he is a crucial cog. I love him a lot, at least more than you.

Friday, March 16, 2012

2012 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers Report


Catchers

Top Targets: Matt Wieters, Joe Mauer, Jesus Montero
Post Hype: Jason Castro, Nick Hundley
New Skills/Opportunity: Tim Federowicz, Josh Donaldson, Stephen Vogt

Matt Wieters is my top catcher sleeper. He had a small breakout during the 2011 season but I believe there is still quite a bit of upside for fantasy owners... Joe Mauer has been injured more than most owners can stand but he is still a talented hitter. Where Mauer is being drafted now is low enough to take a chance with him...Stephen Vogt can hit with any catcher in the game, his defense is just okay. Vogt is doing his best this spring to prove to manager Joe Maddon that he belongs in the majors and behind the plate.

First Basemen


Top Targets: Bryan LaHair, Adam Dunn,
Post Hype: Chris Davis, James Loney
New Skills/Opportunity: Yonder Alonso, Anthony Rizzo

You may look at the names above and find it strange that two players on the same team are listed as sleepers. But Bryan LaHair plays a passable left field and the Chicago Cubs need all the bats they can get. Anthony Rizzo has been a beast this spring and deserves a shot to begin the season in the majors...Old man James Loney (not really that old) seemed to have himself a Jose Bautista moment last summer. After working with new hitting coach Dave Hansen, Bautista has changed his stance and swing to prevent his shoulder flying open and thus sapping his power. You can check out an objective review of the change at Chad Moriyama's Blog.
What is clear though is that Loney has changed his approach and swing over the last two months in a way that has drastically affected his hit distribution and production. As such, the possibility does exist that his numbers could improve significantly in 2012 if the changes he has made carry over on a consistent basis.
Third Basemen

Top Targets: Brett Lawrie, Martin Prado, Ryan Roberts
Post Hype: Ian Stewart, Edwin Encarnacion, Wilson Betemit
New Skills/Opportunity: Jimmy Paredes, Brandon Inge

Brett Lawrie has made such an impression on the baseball world that he has become monstrously overrated. I've seen more than one projection by respected analysts where he comes in hitting over .300 and approaching a 30/30 season. I would not pay the price he is getting right now...I prefer a low-cost Edwin Encarnacion or Wilson Betemit to $30 it will take to roster Lawrie. Both are scheduled to get nearly full-time at-bats this season...Jimmy Paredes will not be much of a keeper in most NL-only leagues with the Astros moving to the American League. Paredes should provide some cheap steals even if he finds himself filling a utility role rather than starting shortstop or third basemen...Brandon Inge is fighting for the starting second baseman job in Tigers camp. If he wins he should provide solid production for a low price.

Second Basemen

Top Targets: Jose Altuve, Ruben Tejada, Jemile Weeks
Post Hype: Gordon Beckham, Tyler Green, Sean Rodriguez
New Skills/Opportunity: Steve Lombardozzi,

Sometimes analysts will refer to a player and give his stats over his last 300 MLB at-bats. Often they are doing this unfairly. When a player gets 300 at-bats over four years and several separate call-ups, the opportunity to succeed in the majors is small. Tyler Green needs an opportunity to show he belongs in the majors. This spring he is competing for an opportunity thanks to the injury to Allen Craig...Gordon Beckham and Ozzie Guillen never seemed like a good mix to me. But I like his chances of a rebound under new manager Robin Ventura. It is almost like a change of scenery without actually going anywhere. The entire White Sox roster should benefit from a more relaxed environment...I love Jose Altuve, reminds me of Dustin Pedroia without the laser show.

Shortstops

Top Targets: Emilio Bonafacio, Dee Gordon
Post Hype: Sean Rodriguez, Jed Lowrie, Alcides Escobar
New Skills/Opportunity: Zack Cozart, Trevor Plouffe, Adrelton Simmons

Emilio Bonafacio has to prove that he can contribute on a daily basis even when his BABIP isn't soaring over .400 in one of his insane hot streaks. Even off the bench he's good for 20-30 steals so don't sweat the small stuff if he isn't named the regular center fielder...Dee Gordon is leading off for the Dodgers and could steal 80 bases if allowed to run at will. He has the green light thus far...Jed Lowrie could hit 20 homers and steal a few bases this season. He has a better bat than you think...Adrelton Simmons has only a small chance of becoming the Braves shortstop THIS season. But he is impressing everyone this spring.. He has a bat you need to remember when he gets his opportunity. I like him a lot more than Tyler Pastornicky on a long term basis but even Pastornicky should be able to steal you bases on the cheap.

Outfielders

Top Targets: Yoenis Cespedes, Shin Soo-Choo , Luke Scott,
Post Hype: Colby Rasmus, Travis Snider, Fernando Martinez, Domonic Brown,
New Skills/Opportunity: Lorenzo Cain, Nate Schierholtz, Michael Saunders

A friend suggested that I was bound to own Yoenis Cespedes this season based on my love for the toolsy young players with star potential. I could not argue with him. I just fear the price will turn me off. Clay Davenport sorted through all the Cuban statistics to come up with some projections and comparable players. Ultimately, it looks like Cespedes and Adam Jones of the Baltimore Orioles are not too far apart...Nate Schierholtz has been given a starting role in San Francisco (probably at the expense of Brandon Belt for now). He could cheaply provide 20-25 homers in full-time at-bats...If I get to Dollar Dayz in my NL-Only leagues I'd spend a dollar on Fernando Martinez...Michael Saunders says that if he goes down this season it will be done swinging the bat like a man. He hired a hitting coach Mike Bard to shorten his swing and teach him to utilize his lower half. He is using a 60-ounce bat in the cage so he can't revert back to a more "handsy" hitter. He will start the season as the Mariners center fielder.

Starting Pitchers

Top Targets: Ubaldo Jimenez, Johan Santana, Ryan Dempster, Max Scherzer
Post Hype: Brandon Morrow, Jonathan Sanchez, Homer Bailey
New Skills/Opportunity: Gavin Floyd, Matt Moore, Drew Pomeranz , Jeff Neiman, Luke Hochevar, Robbie Erlin

Johan Santana looks healthy. He's throwing in the low 90's. His fine control is not all the way back yet but he is throwing strikes...Ubaldo Jimenez has his velocity back and should be much better this season if he can avoid injury...Jeff Neiman and Luke Hochevar both showed improved skills in the second half of the 2012 season and could be very good for cheap money.

Relief Pitchers

Top Targets: Mark Melancon, Kenley Jansen,
Post Hype: Scott Downs, Jeff Samardzija,
New Skills/Opportunity: Addison Reed, Cesar Cabral, Brian Shaw, Ross Detwiler, Ryan Mattheus, Brad Brach

Brad Brach was selected by the Padres in the 42nd round of the 2008 draft. He is the future closer of the Padres... Cesar Cabral was a Rule V pick dealt to the Yankees from the Royals for cash. The Yankees want him to make the team as their second lefty out of the pen...Do not draft Addison Reed as if he is already the closer, draft him as a future closer. This may not be the season he receives that opportunity.

Bench/1st Call-Up Players to Watch:
Luke Hughes, Michael Martinez, Eduardo Nunez, Tyler Moore, Chad Tracy, Ryan Flaherty, Matt Antonelli, Corey Brown,

Adam Laroche is not healthy. Tyler Moore could have a major league impact sooner than expected. Moore will not have a great OBP but he can slug 25-30 homers without question...The Phillies are an aging and brittle team. Michael Martinez could get a ton of playing time and his bat is improving. If Rick Ankiel can not get the job done in center field for the Nationals, Corey Brown could get a quick call-up. He impressed a lot of people this spring.

Thursday, December 22, 2011

2012 Sleepers - A First Baseman for the Rays


For Yankee fans, we are pretty far into the off-season. We're used to out team striking quickly and grabbing the best guys available. Or at the very least we're exhausted by rumors that we're going to get this guy or that guy. Instead the Yankees are patiently waiting out the market and could go into the 2012 season with pretty much the same team they played with in 2011. For fans of the Yankees this is unusual. For fans of the Tampa Bay Rays this is par for the course.

The Rays having one of the smaller payroll budgets in the game, rarely jump early on free agents. They exercise patience and wait until potential bargains develop. This year they might be interested in an outfielder, a designated hitter, middle infielder and first baseman. They could very well re-sign Carlos Pena. But for now they wait and have inexperienced names penciled in at the top of the depth chart at several positions. The most interesting one in my opinion is Russ Canzler.

Canzler is interesting for several reasons. I like that he fits the developing trend of allowing older minor leaguers - sometimes barely considered prospects - to have a chance to make major league rosters. A lot of organizations will dismiss a certain player because he doesn't fit their perception of what a player at his position should look like. We've seen it a hundred times, look at short, slight players like Billy Wagner and Pedro Martinez, who were not always appreciated for their skills as prospects. Canzler does not have an odd body type, he's six feet and two inches tall and weighs over 200 pounds, so he looks like a DH or first baseman. The problem with this guys is that despite being a pretty good hitter, he doesn't hit like the prototypical first baseman.

Some numbers:

Season Team BB% K% AVG OBP SLG ISO BABIP wOBA wRC+
2006 Cubs (A-) 7.10% 22.50% 0.264 0.319 0.543 0.279 0.291 0.382 137
2007 Cubs (A) 7.00% 17.50% 0.270 0.321 0.376 0.107 0.316 0.318 97
2008 Cubs (A+) 7.50% 19.40% 0.273 0.327 0.463 0.190 0.31 0.356 120
2009 Cubs (A+) 6.50% 22.20% 0.270 0.315 0.430 0.160 0.333 0.345 116
2009 Cubs (AA) 11.60% 15.40% 0.258 0.346 0.399 0.142 0.289 0.337 105
2010 Cubs (AA) 11.20% 23.10% 0.287 0.372 0.566 0.279 0.332 0.412 151
2011 Rays (AAA) 12.20% 23.50% 0.314 0.401 0.530 0.215 0.396 0.410 157
2011 Rays 20.00% 20.00% 0.333 0.400 0.333 0.000 0.333 0.316 101

You can see that Canzler has a history of hitting for decent batting averages (much better than decent the last two seasons) with solid power numbers. Looking at these numbers for a still relatively young first baseman, you would probably give him a shot on your fantasy team and as a Rays fan you'd probably be pretty happy to have a .275/.350/.500 line from your rookie first baseman. But that enthusiasm dies off a bit when you learn he has not hit more than 21 homers at any level or in any season. But should it?

For fantasy owners, you might not want him as your primary first baseman, but with third base a weakness in MLB at the moment and first base not quite as deep as it once was, Canzler would be an excellent corner on a lot of teams, especially in AL-Only Leagues. For the Rays it seems like a slam dunk cinch, they would risk almost nothing and he might fill a need for them inexpensively. How long have the Rays been looking for a long-term solution at first base? So if they fail to move one of they pitchers or prospects for a first baseman (they're rumored t be looking at Anthony Rizzo of the Padres) they could decide to give Canzler a try. It just might be to the benefit of fantasy owners.

Wednesday, March 02, 2011

2011 AL-Only Sleeper: Mitch Talbot


Mitch Talbot has been around.

I don't mean to make him sound that half-full container of sour cream in the back of your refrigerator. Just that he has seems to have been floating around baseball for a while before landing with the Indians in 2010. He isn't exactly old, he'll turn 28 at the end of the season. But because he has floated around it becomes easy to label him as a journeyman and dismiss him as a fantasy baseball factor, but that would not be fair. As the champion of fairness in these parts, it is up to me to make a case for Mitch Talbot: 2010 Sleeper!

Talbot has pitched exactly 169 innings in the major leagues. He achieved the bulk of them (159 IP) starting for the Cleveland Indians during the 2010 season. He wasn't an amazing performer but in an AL-only league he was useful. He collected ten wins, a 4.41 era, and 1.49 whip, with peripherals that looked like this: .301 BABIP, 69.4 percent LOB, .73 HR9, 4.97 K9, 3.90 BB9, and a 47.8 percent GB rate. Talbot's overall numbers match his FIP almost exactly. Pretty crappy, eh? Now look at his career minor league numbers:

1.30 whip, 9.05 H9, .62 HR9, 2.64 BB9, and a 7.41 K9 - Nothing amazing there, but consider this. If you throw out a horrible (7.78 era, I usually hate doing that but here it feels right) month of August and his strong finish in September, I think Talbot can help an AL-only pitching staff. He'll also do it for pennies. The Cleveland Indians are going to shock a lot of people in 2010 with their rapid improvement. They have tons of talent and Talbot (and Talbot owners) should benefit.

Plus, he's a warrior who likes to beat on the Red Sox...unbiased Jon

Friday, October 22, 2010

Advice: 2011 OBP League Starting From Scratch


I received a very interesting e-mail from a long-time reader. Mike also presents some great ideas for those teams that may be considering re-building. My response to Mike is below. If you have questions feel free to e-mail Jon@AdvancedFantasyBaseball.com anytime.

Here's Mike:
For the first time in this century my favorite league (the OBP league) is performing a one time scratch draft reset. It will be critical to get the very best keepers (since we have no contracts or salaries, once a player is owned he can be kept forever among the team's 10 year-to-year keepers). I'll be trying to draft a competitive team for 2011, but my emphasis will be on getting the best of the best in draft/trades. I'd be interested in your $0.02 on who your top ten for targets and/or strategies might be.
Here are some of mine thoughts:
  1. If he's not in AA yet, unlikely to help in this scenerio. Bryce Harper might eventually be a A+ Stud, but I'd still be unlikely to carry him all of 2010 on the bench and as one of my 10 best keeper options headed into 2011.
  2. Hitters early an often. They're the best keepers, so maximizing my roster with big bats just makes sense.
  3. Best player drafting. Don't take a closer based on a run. In this scenerio, Andrew McCutchen and a waiver wire RP are better than Jenks and a ww bat,
  4. What Kutchera calls the Combo makes sense. Sure there's a warm place in my heart for 35HR guys, but 15/40 or 25/25 is very sweet.
  5. During the draft, remember to use the six bench slots AND the five DL slots. Plan to draft Strasburg. And who cares if I have four 3B? One can play 3b, one CI, and the other two either become excellent trade bait from the bench.
  6. Punt catchers. It's a one catcher league. If I'm drafting Doumit or Jaso as the last catcher off the board that's because I went strong earlier in the draft.
  7. Punt closers. Only once in the last 5 years have I kept a closer from year to year. At ten keepers/yr that's 1/50 times I've elected a closer to keep. Don't bother ... I can use that 11th round pick on another big bat who might actually have a chance to be a keeper.

I know, I know ... you always play to win. But having won this league the last two years, I can see finishing 3rd and ready for 2012. That seems better than scratching out another win in 2011 but having a lesser 2012 & beyond possibility.

Talk to me ... I value your input.

Big Mike

Hey Mike, I think you have a lot of great ideas already. While I do believe we should play to win every season I also know that sometimes timing and certain events (like starting from scratch) make it advantageous to consider a more long-term view. However, as much as I agree you should seek out the best possible keepers I don't think that is necessarily mutually exclusive from also trying to win in 2011.

Minor Leaguers: You suggest limiting any minor leaguers you acquire to those at the AAA-level and in general that is good thinking when considering the present season only. However, I think in the case of minor league players it is better to look at the resume and accomplishments of the hitter rather than the level they've reached. For instance, I'd take Angels outfield prospect, Mike Trout (who reached High-A in 2010) over just about any minor leaguer at a higher level. When it comes to minor leaguers I want the greatest star potential over experience. I would definitely consider carrying him on my bench for a year in a team-building situation.

Starting Pitchers: If you chase big name pitchers like the Phillies' Roy Halladay and the Giants' Tim Lincecum chances are you will have to overpay for them. It doesn't matter that they are the best at their position if they cause you to sacrifice in other areas. The key to building a cost-effective and winning pitching staff is to be ahead of the game.

Here are some pitchers that could potentially be undervalued for various reasons and also worth drafting in 2011 (in no particular order):
Catchers: In a one catcher league it does make sense to wait and pick the 12th ranked player rather than over draft a slightly better one. However, In a one catcher league having a catcher that is clearly superior to the other options can be a huge advantage. Consider using a pick in rounds four to six on Buster Posey or Joe Mauer. Mauer was banged up in 2010 and should be better in 2011, keep the faith. Posey is an extremely talented hitter and a capable catcher, he is a fantasy superstar in the making.

If you choose to pass on those guys here are a few sleepers I like at catcher in 2011:
Fantasy's Most Wanted: I am far from ready to present my sleepers and position rankings for 2011 but I do have some players I would like to see on a bunch of my rosters in 2o11. Some of these guys will be early picks and others middle round picks but all will be contributors on fantasy leagues of all types in 2011.
Thanks for writing Mike, I hope I sparked some ideas for you.

Friday, August 13, 2010

2011 Sleeper Candidate: Kyle McClellan RHP St. Louis Cardinals

Kyle McClellan has come a long way since being drafted in the 25th round of the 2003 Amateur Draft. On July 1st, 2005, McClellan tore a ligament in his elbow during a spot start. This was after being moved to the bullpen because of earlier struggles in the Single-A, Quad City Swing rotation. Most of the 2006 season was spent rehabbing but after returning for just three appearances he needed a second procedure on the elbow.

McClellan was moved to the bullpen when he returned to protect the elbow. He excelled pitching in the Florida State League for Palm Beach. In 29 innings, McClellan had a 1.24 ERA, struck out 24 to just four walks. Promoted to Springfield, he pitched 30.2 innings with 30 strikeouts and only six walks. In 59.2 innings he allowed only two home runs.He was added to the 40-man roster and has been an effective major league reliever ever since.

Three years of solid performance in the Cardinal Bullpen has helped acclimate McClellan to pitching in the Major Leagues. The team has considered moving him into the rotation several times but the lack of experienced options in the bullpen has stymied the effort.

McClellan pitched well as a starter in 2010 Spring Training but the role of fifth starter was given to Jamie Garcia. In part, because Garcia pitched better, but also because the Cardinals needed a reliable set-up man to deliver late-inning leads to closer Ryan Franklin. According to Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, McClellan excelled in high leverage situations.
The website Baseball-Reference.com tracks the "leverage" appearances for players, defining a high-leverage situation as one where the game is in peril, such as a tie game with a runner on third and fewer than two outs. Of the 250 plate appearances against Franklin last season, 126 were in high-leverage situations. McClellan pitched in the eighth inning 29 times last season, five fewer than [Jason] Motte. But McClellan has 111 plate appearances against in high-leverage situations vs. Motte's 139 plate appearances that had low leverage.

If something happened to Ryan Franklin, Cardinals manager Tony LaRussa would not hesitate to install McClellan into the closer role. That alone should keep McClellan on the fantasy radar. But with Cardinals looking short a couple of starters for next season, you have to at least consider McClellan a major candidate. With a decent strikeout rate, a variety of solid major league pitches including a groundball-inducing sinker, and very good control McClellan has the tools and skills to succeed. Now, he isn't likely to become the next Josh Johnson or Johan Santana but he just might do a passable C.J. Wilson which is pretty darn good. What makes him an even awesomer (yeah, I made it up) sleeper is you can get him for practically nothing right now. At worst you've picked up a set-up guy that is next in line for saves.


Saturday, March 27, 2010

The 2010 All Sleeper Teams

It isn't what I wanted to present but waiting any longer would rob it of all value. Have fun, I'll try to keep updating but no promises.

Identifying Fantasy Baseball Sleepers () is what every fantasy site attempts to do better than the others. We all have our fair share of big hits and huge misses. What is important is that you understand that while I list many sleepers (enough to fill five teams) I would never recommend that you draft more than a few with the possible exception of the new Temporary Hibernation Squad, which consists of players that are already (as Larry David might say…) pretty, pretty, pretty, pretty good.

The Temporary Hibernation Squad – This team consists of players who are relatively well known. However, I believe that each of these players is likely to take a small and maybe even a giant step forward in terms of production this season or maybe just get a lot more at-bats or innings pitched.

C – Matt Wieters, Baltimore Orioles – This near rookie has the tools and the discipline to be every bit as good as Joe Mauer…maybe better. Still, it will be a while before he signs for $184 million. He has hitting talent that is rare in a catcher. Do not allow his slow start in 2009 to ruin it for you.

C – Dioner Navarro, Tampa Bay Rays – His strength as a hitter was always in his ability to put the ball in play. He is a great contact hitter who usually displays better than average plate discipline. In 2009 his game was way off. His BABIP was a very low .231 and I believe he panicked a bit. The starting job is still his if he can stay healthy and regain his effectiveness. Kelly Shoppach should take away his toughest at-bats, which has to help.

1B – Casey Kotchman, Seattle Mariners – Okay, he has not lived up to his potential. Kotchman be the regular first baseman for the Mariners. If he hits for his usual good average in the middle of their improved lineup, Kotchman should be very productive for a AL-only fantasy team and better than expected in mixed leagues.

3B – Adrian Beltre, Boston Red Sox – Free from Safeco Field which greatly inhibits the power of right-handed hitters, Beltre should look considerably more like the player who once hit 40 homers in 2010 in Fenway Park. He will not actually hit that many but you will start to think he could. You know who else looks like a 40 homerun guy? David Wright, that’s who. He has his power stroke back this spring and as long as he maintains it he should be a certain first rounder once again. That’s extra value for actually reading these blurbs.

CR – Scott Rolen, Cincinnati Reds – It is not so much that I expect better numbers from Rolen as it is that he is going very cheaply in many leagues. If he is going for single digit prices in your NL-only, you want him on your team – injuries be damned. The power is not what it was but for the money he’s worth it.

2B – Mike Fontenot, Chicago Cubs – Like Scott Rolen it isn’t so much the improvement in numbers as the lowness of his price. In many leagues, he is not even being drafted! Fontenot is a good hitter with 15 homer power in a full season of at-bats. He has the starting second baseman job almost locked up.

SS – Erick Aybar, Los Angeles Angels – He finally has that starting job all to himself. Defense is his calling card at this point, but people forget that he has the speed to steal 50 bases, which is one of the reasons he will be batting leadoff this season. He is not a great base stealer but if allowed to run he will make fantasy owners very happy.

MI – Marco Scutaro, Boston Red Sox – Sometimes fantasy owners become so jaded against overspending on last year’s flukes that they dismiss guys like Scutaro without looking at the evidence. He has always shown the ability to get n base with moderate power. He just never collected enough at-bats to cause anyone to notice. He is not a one-year wonder.

OF – Jeremy Hermida, Boston Red Sox – The talent is there. The skills displayed in flashes. He begins the season as a fourth outfielder but do not be surprised if he works himself into a much better position. With the fragile J.D. Drew in right field and the aging (and streaky) Mike Cameron in center there should be plenty of available at-bats. He should not cost more than a few bucks (even in Boston) so the risk is very small in deeper leagues.

OF – Juan Pierre, Chicago White Sox – The White Sox love to steal bases and Pierre is the former Greek God of steals (I just made that up). Still as a full time regular, he should steal 40 bases easy and score a ton of runs. The awesome part is the low-low price.

OF – Delmon Young, Minnesota Twins – There is not much evidence this spring that Delmon Young is going to break out this season. Nevertheless, my considerable gut tells me he will. He did hit .302/.322/.502 in the second half and Ron Gardenhire finally seemed to love him late in the 2009 season. So much so, that despite the Jim Thome signing, Young will still play every day. Young is only 24-years old. He will be on many of my teams this season.

OF – Jonny Gomes, Cincinnati Reds – He has not won a starting job yet. However, the Reds seem determined to keep Chris Dickerson as a bench asset only. He proved he could hit right-handers as well as lefties last season and with considerable power. He only needs a break to pull a David Ortiz.

OF – Hunter Pence, Houston Astros – Pence has had small but steady improvements in his walk rates the last three seasons. He cut his strikeout rate in 2009 and improved his plate discipline by swinging at fewer pitches outside of the strike zone. I would love to see him hit more line drives. He is also 27 with experience if you like that old theory. It fits in this case because I think we are about to see a career year from Pence.

UTL/DH – Chris Davis, Texas Rangers – Going into the 2009 season there were few players desired as much. Far too many strikeouts later, 114 strikeouts in 258 at-bats, he was demoted to the minors to get his game straightened out. He came back from the minors a new man and hit .308/.338/.496 to end the season. Now he is destroying all competition this spring. His confidence is contagious, as is confidence in him.

P – Jon Lester, LHP, Boston Red Sox – Minus a slow start in 2009 we would be talking of him as the unquestioned ace of the Red Sox. The improved defense and another year of experience was enough to move him up my rankings. Watch his strikeout rate explode this season, as it did in the second half of 2009. He had an unlucky .323 BABIP in 2009. He is about to have one of THOSE seasons.

P – Chad Billingsley, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers – The first half of the season demonstrated what Billingsley could do. He wore down in the second half. He has not used it as an excuse but he missed part of 2009’s spring training with a leg fracture and that may have impacted his conditioning. Then he pitched through a knee injury in the second half. He has everything you want to see in a pitcher. I see big things for the healthy, better conditioned Chad Billingsley in 2010.

P – Brad Penny, St Louis Cardinals – Working with Pitching Coach Dave Duncan has done a ton of good for pitchers with far less natural talent than Penny. If he stays out of double digits prices, I would draft him.

P – David Price, Tampa Bay Rays – Some pitchers take longer than others to develop. Price had an up and down season. He was mediocre after his call up but as he became more effective, his strikeout rate fell but so did his walks, and his groundball rate increased. He was working at the end of the season on developing his changeup. This work has continued this spring. Price will be better this season but the big breakout will be in 2011.

P – Josh Beckett, Boston Red Sox – Beckett will benefit from the improved defense of the Red Sox in 2010. A potential free agent after the season, Beckett should be motivated. We have seen a motivated Beckett do great things before and I expect even more this time.

P – Matt Harrison, Texas Rangers – In July Harrison was diagnosed with Thoracic Outlet Syndrome which ended his season. Since returning during the Arizona Fall league his stuff looks rejuvenated. This spring both his velocity and command have been excellent. The Teixeira trade is looking ridiculously in favor of the Rangers. He is one of my favorite late round dollar picks.
P – Edwin Jackson, Arizona Diamondbacks – I do not understand why so many people want to have a problem with Edwin Jackson. Is it because he took so long to emerge? He has now had three decent to very good seasons in a row and is still just 26-years old. Baseball Prospectus has suggested that he was tipping his pitches at the end of the season in 2009 and that makes some sense but it is also possible that the inning load just wore him out. He moves to the easier league and I like him still.

P – Matt Thornton, Chicago White SoxMatt Thornton has been the best pitcher in the White Sox bullpen for a couple of years now. He is the favorite to take the closer role from Bobby Jenks when he no longer proves worthy of it. The White Sox seem eager to see that happen and Bobby Jenks is not doing much to stop it.

The Day Dreamers (they are not sleeping they just lack the proper respect) - This squad is composed of light sleepers that are more likely to be bargains in shallower mixed leagues. In deeper leagues, you might laugh at the notion of these players being sleepers.

C – Jeff Clement, Pittsburgh Pirates – Due to the silly contracts that Bill Bavasi handed out as General Manager of the Seattle Mariners Jeff Clement has yet to receive the shot he deserves at a full time catching job. He will not get that chance with Pittsburgh it seems either. But at the least the Pirates have recognized the potential of his bat and are giving him every opportunity to win the first base job in Spring Training. His batting average has been up and down but he has shown some on-base skills and power consistently over the years. Clement is 26-years old this season. He needs to make the most of this opportunity, because at 27-years old you become useless in Major League Baseball. You knew that, right?

C – Alex Avila, Detroit Tigers – This rookie has power and some skills with the bat. He is certainly a better offensive option than Gerald Laird is. Even if he does not start, he has a decent chance of splitting the job in 2010 before taking over as the starter in 2010.

1B – Casey Kotchman, Seattle Mariners – He came through the minors with high expectations. He was supposed to hit for power and average and become another homegrown star for the Los Angeles Angels. But illness and a variety of injuries and a little bad luck combined to turn him from darling to dud. Now the Seattle Mariners (as they did successfully with Russell Branyan in 2009) are giving him an opportunity to be their regular first baseman. His power is better than it looked with the Braves. He has solid plate discipline and draws more walks than strikeouts. I like him as a corner infielder, especially in deeper leagues. I think a .290, 15-20 homerun season is very possible. In the Mariner lineup he could easily score 80 runs and drive in a similar number.

3B – Mark Teahen, Chicago White Sox – Back at third base where he started the White Sox are hoping that Teahen can recapture what he seemed to lose being shuffled around the infield and outfield with the Royals. He has the talent to be an above average player. He has a brand new opportunity; he only needs to take advantage. The change in ballparks helps too, though his new home tends to help more with home run hitting than batting average.

CR – Brandon Wood, Los Angeles Angels – I get annoyed with the Angels all the time. They have these great prospects and they make them wait much longer than seems necessary to earn a major league job. But maybe I should get over it. When they needed Erick Aybar to play regularly, he was ready. Juan Rivera (I know a Yankees prospect) was also ready when needed. Kendry Morales was ready when needed. They traded for Scott Kazmir who was having the worst season of his career and suddenly he was ready as well. Now, they seem to think Brandon Wood is ready to become their full time third baseman. I agree. He has reduced his massive strikeouts totals to a reasonable level. The power is still there to hit 25-35 homeruns a season on a consistent basis. I love him.

2B – Kelly Johnson, Arizona Diamondbacks – He will start at second base and should return to his former level of production, established before a fluke 2009 season. The upside is a .290 average with 15-20 homers and 15-20 stolen bases. That’s gold baby! Gold!

SS – Everth Cabrera, San Diego Padres – You have to love it when a Rule V pick manages to stay with the big league club and becomes a fantasy asset to boot. Cabrera will begin the 2010 season as the starting shortstop for the San Diego Padres. If he can continue to make adjustments and utilize his speed on the bases he has a chance at 50 steals this season.

MI – Blake DeWitt, Los Angeles Dodgers – DeWitt is fighting for a spot in the majors after the Dodgers signed both Jamey Carroll and Ronnie Belliard. DeWitt’s ISO has improved along with his walk rates and contact rates. He has proven to have better than average plate discipline in his brief time in the majors and looks like a player with upside at a potentially weak position. UPSIDE: .290 BA with 20 homers.

OF – Ryan Raburn, Detroit Tigers – I liked him a lot better before Johnny Damon arrived in Detroit. Still, Raburn showed he could hit. With the Tigers lineup featuring a collection of old and brittle stars, there should still be plenty of at-bats. Do not overpay for Raburn, in the end he is just a good utility player. If you have to pay him like a starter, you can use your money better.

OF – Chris Young, Arizona Diamondbacks – A strong September (after a return to the minors) offers Young some hope of recapturing his potential. Of course, we have seen these flashes before. He is rapidly approaching the hit it or quit it portion of his career. Meaning he needs to get productive or go home. I actually like owning guys in that situation, you can count on their teams casting them off(opening a roster spot for you) if they fail.

OF – Brett Gardner, New York Yankees – The New York newspapers love to doubt Gardner’s ability. He has excellent plate discipline and draws walks at a decent clip. He can bunt for hits almost at will and has the speed and requisite skills to steal 40 bases in a season. At the very least, he is a younger version of Nyjer Morgan, I happen to think he is closer to Jacoby Ellsbury.

OF – Juan Francisco, Cincinnati Reds – Given the opportunity he could probably hit 30 homeruns in a season. His plate discipline is not great but he mashes what he connects with. As a fifth outfielder or utility player in an NL-only league, you could do much worse.

UTL/DH – Travis Hafner, Cleveland Indians – He looks healthy. He is ripping the ball in Spring Training. We also know from experience that he can do a ton of good to a fantasy team when he is feeling good. I would not expect 40 homeruns again, but 30 are not out of the question. Plus: David Ortiz, Boston Red Sox – Ortiz fixed a mechanical problem in his swing and looked more Big Papi-like in the second half of last season. He should have better all around totals in 2010 but we have seen his best seasons already.

P – Jeff Niemann, Tampa Bay Rays – He had a very solid rookie season which included a strong second half of the season where his K9 went up nearly every month due to increased use of his curveball.

P – Brett Anderson, Oakland Athletics – As good as he was in his rookie season, he was better than he looked. His ERA of 4.06 will fool some of the less perceptive members of your league. Anderson is a stud in progress. He has the strikeout ability, the control, and the groundball induction skills to be one of the best in the game. His LOB of 67 percent, his BABIP of .317, and his 3.69 FIP are all signs of the improvement that we could see in 2010. Get him now, this may be your last chance for a decade.

P – Joel Pineiro, Los Angeles Angels – Some doubt that Pineiro can maintain 2009’s gains with the Angels. I actually think he could be better. Pineiro has talked enough about his change in pitching style that I believe he will stick with it. He will be pitching in a good pitching environment with a better defense behind him and supported by a better offense.

P – Phil Hughes, New York Yankees – The hype around Phil Hughes is certainly still loud but the nature of the hype has changed. Instead of being regarded as the best pitching prospect in baseball as he was just a few years ago, he is now considered semi-flop with a reconsidered ceiling of a number three starter. This is good news for you. Now you can grab the pitcher on the cheap. Almost every projection out there is based on Hughes receiving a few spot starts and spending the rest of the season in the bullpen. He has the changeup working again, and the Yankees have another ace in the making.

P – Ian Kennedy, Arizona Diamondbacks – Kennedy has a strikeout rate and walk rate that should indicate a successful pitcher. He is not a groundball pitcher. He has demonstrated an ability to keep the ball in the park. He induces many infield flies (as Barry Zito used to do). The D’Backs will give him a complete opportunity to perform in the majors, a chance he was unlikely to get as a Yankee. Do not go crazy but for a few bucks, I love him in NL-only leagues.

P – Justin Masterson, Cleveland IndiansJustin Masterson, underutilized with the Red Sox due to their outstanding pitching depth, is a better pitcher than you may understand. He has the power sinker to induce mad numbers of groundballs. He strikes out batters at a nice clip and if he can bring some of his minor league control to the majors, he will have the holy trinity of abilities that we look for in young starters. I almost did not include him in this article for selfish reasons. I want him in my local leagues that much. But I couldn’t do that to you.

P – Brett Cecil, Toronto Blue Jays – It is amazing how quickly these guys can fall off the fantasy radar. He does not strike out many batters but he induces a ton of groundballs. He combines that with decent control. And he induces a ton of groundballs. The Blue Jays will give him an extended opportunity this spring. I think it will work out well.

P – Mike Adams, San Diego Padres – Personally, I think the Padres should keep Heath Bell as their closer. So far, the Padres seem to think the same way. However, the media and fans calling for and expecting the Padres to trade their more expensive players (even though they are relatively cheap) can have a powerful effect on a team, especially when they are not winning. Mike Adams has been around and he has pretty typical closer stuff. He has the big fastball, the strikeout totals, and he even induces groundballs at a decent clip. The great thing for Adams owners is the improved control. Adams went from shaky control to damn good control over the last few years. He can do the job.

P – Matt Guerrier, Minnesota Twins – Before Spring Training began I considered him an excellent set-up reliever. He was a great candidate for someone planning to use the Three Reliever Strategy. Now, with Jon Rauch the closer, he becomes a candidate for saves and his potential value explodes. Remember Jon Rauch (since injuries prevented him from starting) for a saves role in the past. However, something whether it is injuries or just bad luck has prevented him from embracing it long term. If he fails again, guess who takes his place… Throwing a dollar down on Jesse Crain couldn’t hurt either.

The Cat-Nappers (A loud noise would wake them in a hurry) - This group consists of players that are definitely underrated, un-hyped, or inexperienced but producing or due to produce much better than the general perception. These players are deeper league targets.

C – Kurt Suzuki, Oakland Athletics – When you consider the money involved there is no fantasy catcher I like more than Suzuki. He has very good plate discipline, he can draw walks and get on base, he has good power, and steals a handful of bases. Yet, he is available at bargain rates in a whole lot of leagues.

1B – Daniel Murphy, New York Mets – Murphy should be a second baseman or a third baseman but that just isn’t going o happen right now. Instead, Murphy will be the primary starter at first base. He has solid plate discipline and power that would be decent coming from your middle infield but lousy at first base. But at the end of the season he should (assuming he doesn’t have another three-month slump) have totals around .280 BA, .340OBP, .450 SLG, 15 homers, 10 steals , and a bunch of runs scored depending on his final location in the lineup.

3B – David Freese, St. Louis Cardinals – If he can avoid another DUI Freese should be the starting third baseman for the Cardinals. He can hit. He has solid plate discipline and 25-homer power and can steal a base if asked. I have him for $8 in my local AL-only league. I’m keeping him.

CR – Jake Fox, Oakland Athletics – Fox will initially be a part-time DH and fill in at both infield corners. If Daric Barton has another poor start he could take over at first. Fox is potentially a better hitter than Jack Cust but lacks major league experience. I would like him even more if there were not so much competition at the corners in Oakland.

2B – Tony Abreu, Arizona Diamondbacks - He came to the D’Backs as the Player-to-be-Named in the Jon Garland deal. He makes strong contact but lacks patience at the plate. Abreu also has decent power and speed for a middle infielder. I think of him as a Howie Kendrick type. He is a strong candidate to become the starting second baseman.

SS – Mike Aviles, Kansas City Royals – He will not be ready to start the season. Aviles may have started poorly in 2009 but that does not mean that 2008 was a fluke.

MI – Mike McCoy, Toronto Blue Jays – A career minor leaguer that hit .307 with a .405 on-base percentage last season at Triple-A, walking 80 times and striking out just 70 while going stealing 40-for-46 on the basepaths, yeah, that’s a sleeper. He does not have any pop, but he can get on base, can handle the strike zone and is a smart base stealer.

OF – Julio Borbon, Texas Rangers – If you just like him, you are underestimating him. We will not get it all in 2010 but Borbon’s potential is vast. He is an excellent contact hitter, draws walks like a leadoff hitter, has solid plate discipline, and hits the ball on the ground the way a player of his speed should. He could steal 50 bases this season or even more if the Rangers feel like running this year. They certainly have the personnel for it.

OF – Aaron Cunningham, San Diego Padres – Away from the outfield glut of Oakland, he joins the outfield glut in San Diego but he’s becomes the best center field option. He has some power and speed. A 20/20 season is very possible if he wins full time at-bats. As I write this, the Padres seem to be leaning towards Tony Gwynn Jr., which I understand emotionally but intellectually seems somewhat stupid.

OF – Fernando Martinez, New York Mets – The Mets and their manager Jerry Manuel are probably dumb enough to force Martinez back to the minors in favor of established mediocrities like Angel Pagan and gary Matthews jr. However, this is a player with major league talent and star potential. If stashing is possible in your league, you should be the one stashing him.

OF – Terry Evans, Los Angeles Angels - Evans is out of minor league options, which gives him a good chance to claim one of the openings the Angels have for a reserve outfielder, and even though he's a bit old for a prospect (he just turned 28), there's actually some potential here if he gets a chance at regular playing time. Evans hit .309 with 33 homers and 37 steals between high Class A and Double-A in 2006, and .301 with 15 homers and 24 steals in 2007, before missing much of 2008 due to injury. He bounced back last year with a .291 average, 26 homers and 28 steals at Triple-A. Sometimes production can come from an unexpected source if that player gets a chance to play (witness Garrett Jones last year), and that could be the case with Evans if he somehow finds playing time.

UTL/DH – Jason Kubel, Minnesota Twins – The Twins have built up the lineup entering their new stadium. Kubel has been very good, and he could be even better in 2010.

P – Felipe Paulino, RHP, Houston Astros – Injuries destroyed Paulino’s 2007 and 2008 seasons. But his fantastic ability to strikeouts batters, improving control, some ability to induce groundballs, and seriously bad luck in 2009 make Paulino an excellent sleeper who should be available for pennies in your auction.

P – Bryan Augenstein, Arizona Diamonbacks

P – Ryan Rowland-Smith, Seattle Mariners

P – Marc Rzepczynski, Toronto Blue Jays – If he finds control over his great sinker and excellent slider in the majors he will collect strikeouts in addition to being an extreme groundball pitcher.

P – Aaron Poreda, San Diego Padres

P – Shawn Marcum, Toronto Blue Jays

P – Blake Hawksworth, St Louis Cardinals

P – Juan Gutierrez, RHP,ArizonaDiamondbacks – He’ll get important outs for the dbacks, the question is which inning.

The Nearly Comatose Commandos - This team is loaded with long shots and comebacks. These are the high risk, high reward players. You do not want to own more than one or two of these players because the potential for failure is almost as high as the potential reward.

C – Russell Martin, Los Angeles Dodgers

1B – Paul Konerko, Chicago White Sox

3B – Troy Glaus, Atlanta Braves

CR – Alex Gordon, Kansas City Royals

2B – Ronnie Belliard, Los Angeles – He’s no superstar but if he gets a starter’s at-bats he’ll be worth owning in most leagues.

SS – J.J. Hardy, Minnesota Twins – At this point, I think we know what Hardy is. He is an extremely streaky but powerful hitter who had an unlucky 2009 season. He will never be a great hitter but .270 with 20-plus homers from shortstop is good enough for me.

OF – Carlos Gomez, Milwaukee Brewers – If you look closely you will see that despite a disappointing season Gomez actually showed some improvement in his plate discipline and patience. Gomez is a potential star and one of my favorite members of this sleeper team.

OF – "Andruw Jones is "said to be in the best shape he's been in for a decade," writes SI.com's Jon Heyman.
"Jones agreed to a one-year, $500,000 contract with the White Sox in late November and is expected to serve as the club's designated hitter most nights. The 32-year-old batted .214/.323/.459 with 17 homers and 43 RBI in 281 at-bats with the Rangers in 2009 and is a fine add in AL-only leagues.
"

OF – Josh Hamilton, Texas Rangers

P – Jeremy Bonderman, Detroit Tigers

P – Daisuke Matsuzaka, Boston Red Sox – The Red Sox and Matsuzaka had it out last season. The result was a renewed peace between them. Matsuzaka will stop working slightly apart from the team and do everything as every other member of team does. He will work with the Boston pitching coaches and work out on their program. He will even spend three weeks at the Athletes Performance Institute in Arizona before spring training. The same place used by some of baseball’s best athletes including teammates Jacoby Ellsbury and Dustin Pedroia.

P – Manny Parra, Milwaukee Brewers - He destroyed a few fantasy seasons in 2009. But Manny Parra has the stuff of an ace. He just struggles to harness it from game to game. New pitching coach Rick Peterson may be just the man to straighten him out.

P – Francisco Liriano, Minnesota Twins - Minnesota Twins left-hander Francisco Liriano, a rookie sensation in 2006 before an elbow injury stalled his progress, pitched 26⅔ scoreless innings in a row in the Dominican League, including the playoffs. He had 35 strikeouts in 27⅔ innings.

P – John Maine, New York Mets - When he was last healthy he went 15-10 with a pretty good ERA. After two injury-plagued seasons, he will be coming to you dirt-cheap. For a single-digit price, he is worth the risk.

P – Chien-Ming Wang

P – Billy Buckner, Arizona Diamondbacks - In 77.1 innings pitched he struck out 7.45 batters per nine innings, issuing 3.38 BB/9. He also kept the ball down, generating grounders 48.8 percent of the time. Buckner’s xFIP, based on whiffs, walks and a normalized home run per fly ball rate, was 3.95- nearly two and a half runs lower than his actual ERA.

P – Ben Sheets, Oakland Athletics

P – Justin Duchscherer

The Fresh Ones – This team’s roster loads up on rookies and first-year players with very little major league experience and usually even less name value. These players all have an opportunity to make their major league teams and could have massive impacts if the playing time is there.
C – Jonathan Lucroy, Milwaukee Brewers
C – Carlos Santana, Cleveland Indians
1B – Justin Smoak
3B – Brett Wallace, Toronto Blue Jays
CR – Chris Carter
2B – Scott Sizemore, Detroit Tigers
SS – Alcides Escobar, Milwaukee Brewers
MI – Cliff Pennington, Oakland Athletics

OF – Chris Heisey, Cincinnati Reds – Heisey is a potential 20/20 fantasy stud. His primary obstacle is to overcome his status as a late round draft pick and a rookie on a Dusty Baker team. Wish him luck. In 585 plate appearances split between Double-A and Triple-A, Heisey hit a robust 314/.379/.521 with 22 home runs, and for good measure he swiped 21 bases in 24 attempts.
OF – Jason Heyward, Atlanta Braves
OF – Desmond Jennings
OF – Casper Wells, Detroit Tigers – He could provide the offense from center field in 2010 that Austin Jackson hopes to provide in future seasons, maybe better.
OF – Michael Taylor, Oakland Athletics

UTL/DH – Jesus Montero, New York Yankees – There is little hype around Jesus Montero becoming the 2010 Rookie of the Year. This is primarily due to Jorge Posada filling the catcher position (and Monetero’s need for continued development there) and Nick Johnson’s arrival as the new designated hitter. If Johnson requires a stint on the disabled list (as has often been the case), it would probably herald the arrival of Jesus Montero to the major leagues. It is only a matter of time. Then we will see a Mike Piazza, Carlos Delgado level of talent hit the majors.

P – Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals
P – Wade Davis, Tampa Bay Rays
P – Brian Matusz, Baltimore Orioles
P – Jeremy Hellickson, Tampa Bay Rays
P – Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants
P – Hector Rondon, Cleveland Indians
P – Neftali Feliz, Texas Rangers
P – Mark Melancon, RHP, Yankees
P – Drew Storen, Washington Nationals
The Keeper Sleepers – These players are the names you will be looking at in 2011. No one will care now so you will get most of these players on the cheap. Only draft these guys if you can stash them away. In leagues with minor league systems most of these guys should be drafted already. If not be certain to pounce on them.
C – Buster Posey, San Francisco Giants
C – Josh Thole, New York Mets
1B – Logan Morrison, Florida Marlins
3B – Josh Bell, Baltimore Orioles
CR – Danny Valencia, Minnesota Twins
2B – David Adams, New York Yankees – Adams is one of those guys who tend to be called scrappy. He plays the game with passion and works hard at it. Compared to Dustin Pedroia for his talent as well as his drive to be the best, he will not quit until he makes it. He will steal some bases and eventually hit for power but his strength will be getting on base.

SS – Starlin Castro, Chicago Cubs
MI – Adeinis Hechavarria, Toronto Blue Jays - Cuban Free Agent
OF – Mike Stanton, Florida Marlins
OF – Dominic Brown, Philadelphia Phillies

OF – Ryan Westmoreland, Boston Red Sox – His potential is as high as any one player on this list. Unfortunately, last week Westmoreland underwent surgery to remove a cavernous malformation in his brain.
From Joy of Sox: (http://joyofsox.blogspot.com/2010/03/report-westmoreland-surgery-successful.html)
According to the Barrow Neurological Institute at St. Joseph's Hospital and Medical Center in Phoenix, AZ, Red Sox minor league outfielder Ryan Westmoreland today underwent successful surgery to remove a cavernous malformation in his brain. Dr. Robert Spetzler performed the surgery. The announcement was made by General Manager Theo Epstein. Following the five-hour procedure, Westmoreland remains in the intensive care unit but has come through the surgery well. Due to the complexity of this surgery, Ryan will face a difficult period initially before beginning his recovery.

OF – Will Venable/Tony Gwynn Jr.
OF –
UTL/DH –
P – Tanner Scheppers, Texas Rangers
P – Jordan Zimmerman

P – Tim Alderson - Alderson has asked, and the Pirates have agreed, to restore his motion to its origins when he was the 22nd-overall selection in 2007 out of Scottsdale, Ariz. He felt he got away from the mechanics that enabled him to regularly throw 89-93 mph fastballs. Poor kid, they were down to 87-91 mph last season, when he went 10-3 with three different teams in two separate leagues. Still, that supposedly slower fastball is said to have hit-the-dot command. Ergo, the Pirates don't want to mess up a good thing, but they're behind Alderson in this mechanics quest.
P –
P – Mark Rogers, Milwaukee Brewers -
P – Jose Ceda, Florida Marlins
P – Jaime Garcia, St. Louis Cardinals
P – Jenrry Mejia, New York Mets
P – Dan Runzler, San Francisco -