Showing posts with label second basemen. Show all posts
Showing posts with label second basemen. Show all posts

Monday, July 01, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Info: Matt Carpenter Leads Reinforcements at Second Base



By Ben Hargrove

With Ian Kinsler, Aaron Hill and Chase Utley on the disabled list and Martin Prado and Rickie Weeks slumping, several second basemen who may not have been drafted in some leagues have offered fantasy baseball daily, weekly and season-long owners good replacements.

Matt Carpenter, St. Louis Cardinals
As of press time, Carpenter was fifth in MLB in runs with 58 and was in thirteenth in the majors in batting at .317. Carpenter had a .360 BABIP but his 2012 BABIP was .346. In May, Carpenter hit .352 with 18 walks and only ten strikeouts.

Carpenter hit .294 with 6 homers, 46 RBI and 44 runs in 296 at bats as a 26-year-old rookie in 2012.  In the postseason, Carpenter homered off of Giants pitcher Matt Cain. Carpenter is also eligible at 1B, 3B and OF. 

Jedd Gyorko, San Diego Padres
23-year-old rookie Gyorko joined the Padres this season after two straight minor league seasons of at least 25 homers, 100 RBI and a .310 BA. Gyorko struggled in April, but hit .303 in May with 6 homers, 12 RBI and 20 runs. In June, he hit .325 with 2 homers and 5 RBI. Gyorko also has 3B eligibility as a result of filling in at third in April when Chase Headley was on the DL.  Despite playing in San Diego, Gyorko has an extreme home-road split in the other direction, with a .944 OPS at home vs. .670 on the road through 60 games. While Gyorko is currently on the DL with a groin injury, he is expected to be back soon.

Kelly Johnson, Tampa Bay Rays
Johnson, now 31, has not had much fantasy relevance since 2010, when he hit 26 homers with 13 steals and a .284 BA for Arizona.  Johnson had what had become a typical month for him in April – 3 homers and a .227 BA – before exploding in May with 7 homers, 26 RBI and a .330 BA.  But Johnson was struggling again at the start of June and missed a couple of games with back trouble. 

As of press time Johnson had 39 RBI and 11 homers. Johnson also had six steals. The lefthanded Johnson had hit all 11 of his homers off righty pitchers.Johnson still has 2B eligibility in many fantasy baseball leagues despite primarily playing outfield for Tampa Bay. 

Daniel Murphy, New York Mets
Murphy was third in runs scored among second basemen as of press time despite playing for the weak-hitting Mets.  He typically batted second, in front of David Wright, and sometimes led off. The lefthanded Murphy hits much better against righties and on the road. His splits as of the end of June were .818 OPS vs. righties against .532 vs. lefties and .659 at home against .770 on the road.   

Ben Hargrove writes on a variety of fantasy baseball daily topics for DraftStreet.             

Thursday, June 27, 2013

Anthony Rendon Living Up to the Hype

As fantasy leaguers we often find ourselves looking at the minor leaguers that could make an impact. No matter how long or short the list - the vast majority fail to make that impact. Anthony Rendon was on a lot of lists due to his outstanding talent but there was doubt around him due to his difficulty staying healthy and on the field. I do not mean to jinx him but there has been little to worry about since his call-up. Through his first 107 plate appearances the rookie is batting an astounding .354/.402/.485 with 12 runs, one homer, one stolen base and six RBI batting near the front of the lineup. He should be near the top of the second base ranks at the end of the year if he keeps it up.

A great piece on Rendon his owners will enjoy reading:

"He's swung the bat like a veteran," manager Davey Johnson said. "He's hit every pitch that's thrown up there at him. He's got a quick bat. And he's aggressive. He hits all types of pitches. Just a good-looking young hitter."

There really isn't much to find fault with Rendon's offensive game. Still 23, with only 105 games of professional experience (26 in the majors) under his belt, he displays the kind of maturity and advanced hitting approach you'd expect from a 10-year vet.

Rendon drives the ball to center and right fields with regularity, has the bat control to be able to foul off a tough pitch and isn't afraid to hit when behind in the count.

"Since we drafted him, and since we've heard about him and watched him play in the minors, you can kind of tell when a guy is going to be able to hit," Zimmerman said. "He was one of those guys. It's fun to watch him go up there. He stays with his plan. He's very disciplined for a young hitter. It's pretty impressive."

So impressive that Johnson may have no choice to keep Rendon near the top of his lineup on a permanent basis, placing him right before Bryce Harper after the latter returns from the DL in the next few days.

The Washington Nationals continue to build a very interesting team with an amazing core of young but top tier talent. Stephen Strasburg, Bryce Harper, Anthony Rendon, Tyler Moore, Gio Gonzalez and Jordan Zimmerman are players that could find a place on any team in the league.

Wednesday, March 06, 2013

Is Chase Utley a Safe 2013 Fantasy Baseball Pick?


That an aging and increasingly brittle second baseman such as Chase Utley must still be considered one of the best available at the position is both an acknowledgement of his talent and of the lack of offensive ability at the middle infield positions. Once past the third tier (all of my second base tiers are listed below) the talent drops off into the undesirable range very quickly. There is some promising talent on the way but until it becomes proven they won't be of much use in shallower mixed leagues. Jedd Gyorko of the Padres, Kolten Wong of the Cardinals, Delino Deshields of the Astros, Jonathan Schoop of the Orioles and Brock Holt of the Red Sox are some of the talents closet to contributing to fantasy teams.

Gyorko and Wong could start the season in the major leagues. I think Gyorko could be a major rookie of the year candidate and he is one of my favorite deep NL-only picks this year. I am not as big on Wong. Wong has skills that are improving but gets a lot of value from defense and intangibles which will not be an asset to most fantasy teams.

What are we looking for from our second basemen? It used to be that if he hit for a decent average and stole a few bases fantasy owners would be happy. But times changed and power became a more frequent requirement from the position. Stolen bases are almost a given these days but the power we enjoyed last decade is fading fast. These days we'll take batting average, decent power and a smattering of stolen bases and not complain too much.

Utley of course was once a lock to be one of the top two or three at the position. He hit for average, got on base, hit for power, stole bases and played excellent defense. He still does all of those things but has become very injury prone - mostly his bad knees. He has changed his workout routines in an effort to be better prepared for the season but I would hesitate to count on him for more than 400 at-bats and it could be less than that. Last season in 301 at-bats (362 plate appearances) Utley delivered a .256/.365/429 batting line with 48 runs, 45 RBI, 11 homeruns and 11 stolen bases. That is not so terrible when batting average has become less of a priority to major league hitters but it is far from what Utley could once provide.

What those numbers tell us is that Utley can indeed be productive for as long as he is on the field. Certainly on an at-bat to at-bat basis Utley is better than most at the position. Fantasy Owners can feel secure selecting Utley as long as they do not pay for more than 400 at-bats and have a plan to cover his almost inevitable time on the disabled list.

Tier One Second Basemen

Robinson Cano, New York Yankees - Cano is the best bat at the position by far. He hits like a potential batting champ and is a near lock to provide around 30 homeruns. Typically his Yankees lineups are so good that 100 runs and 100 RBI are always in range. With the deluge of injuries and the lack of established replacements the run and RBI totals are not as certain.

Tier Two Second Basemen

Dustin Pedroia, Boston Red Sox - Only the occasional injury and last year's slump keep him from joining Cano in the first tier of the position. He provides average, some power and stolen bases and bats near the top of an excellent lineup. 

Ian Kinsler, Texas Rangers - He has been a bit inconsistent but Kinsler can do it all. He is a solid bet for an annual 20/20 season and 30-plus homers are very possible.

Ben Zobrist, Tampa Bay Rays - The Rays refuse to leave him at one position. He began the offseason as the starting shortstop but was moved back to second when they acquired Yunel Escobar. Then he was placed back in the outfield when the Rays acquired Kelly Johnson. He hits for average and is usually good for close to 20 homers and 20 steals.

Jason Kipnis, Cleveland Indians - Kipnis ran into some growing pains in the second half of the 2012 season but still put up great overall numbers. He has 30 homer potential and should steal at least 20 bases if not the 31 he totaled in 2012.

Aaron Hill, Arizona Diamondbacks - Consistency is not his bag but he is usually good for 20-plus homers and a double-digit smattering of stolen bases. The Diamondbacks love to run so he could steal 20-plus bases again.

Tier Three Second Basemen

Jose Altuve, Houston Astros - A lack of power and a lousy lineup are keeping him from ranking better. But we will take the 30-plus stolen bases all day. He actually does have a little pop for a little guy but that is not his game and expecting more than a few homers would be to court disappointment.

Rickie Weeks, Milwaukee Brewers - A massive slump through the first half the 2012 season has eroded his fantasy value a bit. He was pretty much his old self in the second half. There were actually signs of him becoming a better, more patient hitter.

Brandon Phillips, Cincinnati Reds - Is Phillips the coolest guy in the game? He's good for close to 20/20 every season and should have a big year in the souped up Reds lineup.

Chase Utley, Philadelphia Phillies - Talented but injury prone.

Dan Uggla, Atlanta Braves - Usually one of the positions's better power options, he slumped badly in 2012. He seemed to start pressing to break the slump which only made it worse. He is the type of player that can fade quickly so be cautious selecting him.

Tier Four Second Basemen

Howie Kendrick, Los Angeles Angels - He has never seemed to reach his full potential as a possible batting average star with some power and speed. But he is an excellent pick this season if for nothing but his place in the middle of the Angels lineup.

Neil Walker, Pittsburgh Pirates - He should hit for a decent batting average with a dozen or so homers and a few stolen bases. He no longer has the talented Brock Holt keeping an eye on his job.

Kelly Johnson, Tampa Bay Rays - His batting average will be lousy but he has 20/20 potential. It appears the Rays will start him at second base but back him up well.

Danny Espinosa, Washington Nationals - A shoulder injury that he chose to rehab without surgery has some analysts worried. It has the potential to impact his power numbers. Steve Lombardozzi is ready to pounce on his job.

Jeff Keppinger, Chicago White Sox - He hits for average with a few homers and steals. He qualifies all over the infield and could change positions depending on the production of players like Brent Morel and Gordon Beckham. Carlos Sanchez is almost ready for a shot at the majors and he has big stolen base potential.

Dustin Ackley, Seattle Mariners - He was a big disappointment in 2012. He is expected to hit for average with some power and some stolen bases. Some people expect that anyway.

Brian Roberts, Baltimore Orioles - He looks healthy this spring but we've seen this before. I would not count on him to play the entire season. If healthy he should steal some bases assuming his legs are still good.

Tier Five Second Basemen

Eric Young Jr., Colorado Rockies - New Rockies manager Walt Weiss seems determined to create more of a role for the talented and versatile Young. If he gets at-bats he should steal a ton of bases. It would not take too much imagination to see him starting at second base or in the outfield at some point this season.

Omar Infante, Detroit Tigers - This is probably the last player on the list that I would want to draft. Everyone below this would make me just a little sick. He has some power and will steal some bases. He could have a really good season in Detroit.

Gordon Beckham, Chicago White Sox - After a fast start to his career Beckham has done nothing but disappoint. He has some power and can steal bases but he is not a disciplined enough hitter to deliver for fantasy owners.

Daniel Murphy, New York Mets - He does not hit for much power or steal many bases but he does hit for a decent batting average. He is probably a bit underrated due to the Mets lousy lineup.

Marco Scutaro, San Francisco Giants - An excellent contact hitter with some on-base skill. He hits a few homers and steals a few bases. His teams always seem to be searching for his replacement. Your fantasy team will not be any different.

Maicer Izturis, Toronto Blue Jays - Battling Emilio Bonafacio for the role of starting second baseman. He is better suited a bench role and that is likely his destiny.

Tier Six Second Basemen

Tyler Greene, Houston Astros - He is only a decent hitter but he has the power and speed to provide fantasy owners with double digit homers and steals. He is projected as the starting shortstop for the Astros.

Logan Forsythe, San Diego Padres - He had better hope that Jedd Gyorko struggles defensively this spring. Gyorko can hit circles around Forsythe. Forsythe has a tiny bit of power and some stolen base ability but is not much of a contributor to a fantasy team.

Darwin Barney, Chicago Cubs - A defensive whiz who has managed decent batting averages and some stolen bases. He is not worthless but his value is only the result of the starting role he has no real skills that a fantasy owner would covet.

Donovan Solano, Miami Marlins - He could be the starter for the Marlins now that the team has been decimated. If he is better than average at the position it would be a great season for Solano and still without much fantasy value.

Jamey Carroll, Minnesota Twins - He can hit for average but he may be coming off the ben ch this season as the young Brian Dozier is likely to win the starting shortstop job.

Mark Ellis, Los Angeles Dodgers - He gets on base but that is about it for fantasy owners. I fully expect Dee Gordon to take over at second base at some point this season. The sooner the better.

Alexi Casilla, Baltimore Orioles - The most likely candidate to replace an injured Brian Roberts. He can steal bases and some unrealized power potential.

Jemile Weeks, Oakland Athletics - Battling Scott Sizemore for the second base job after a disappointing season. But based on potential alone he should win the job.

Tier Seven Second Basemen

Steve Lombardozzi, Washington Nationals - Danny Espinosa's potential replacement. He's a gritty gamer type that the Diamondbacks would love.

Chris Getz, Kansas City Royals - He should be sitting on the Royals bench but because manager Ned Yost is in love with him he will continue to battle Giavotella for the starting second baseman job.

Johnny Giavotella, Kansas City Royals - He has the bat to move way up this list. He should hit for an excellent batting average with some power and stolen bases.

DJ LeMahieu, Colorado Rockies - He can hit. He has no power. He has some speed but nothing exciting. But he can hit.

Ryan Roberts, Tampa Bay Rays- He has some power and might be productive if the Rays give him a chance to play.

Ryan Raburn, Detroit Tigers - He looks like a bench player this season. That is probably for the best.

Freddy Sanchez, San Francisco Giants - To rank higher he would have to stay healthy for a few dozen at-bats per season.

Scott Sizemore, Oakland Athletics - Battling for the A's second base job. He has a little power and a some stolen base skills but nothing to get excited about.


Tuesday, November 15, 2011

2011 Best Second Base Performance

The best at second base is not a pretty list once you get past the top ten or so.


Name Team PA AVG OBP SLG ISO BABIP wOBA
Dustin Pedroia Red Sox 731 0.307 0.387 0.474 0.167 0.325 0.377
Robinson Cano Yankees 681 0.302 0.349 0.533 0.231 0.316 0.375
Matt Downs Astros 222 0.276 0.347 0.518 0.241 0.315 0.373
Jason Kipnis Indians 150 0.272 0.333 0.507 0.235 0.313 0.371
Ian Kinsler Rangers 723 0.255 0.355 0.477 0.223 0.243 0.37
Ben Zobrist Rays 674 0.269 0.353 0.469 0.201 0.31 0.36
Rickie Weeks Brewers 515 0.269 0.35 0.468 0.199 0.31 0.358
Brandon Phillips Reds 675 0.3 0.353 0.457 0.157 0.322 0.351
Nick Punto Cardinals 166 0.278 0.388 0.421 0.143 0.319 0.35
Howie Kendrick Angels 583 0.285 0.338 0.464 0.179 0.338 0.349
Chase Utley Phillies 454 0.259 0.344 0.425 0.166 0.269 0.344
Dustin Ackley Mariners 376 0.273 0.348 0.417 0.144 0.339 0.34
Jason Donald Indians 143 0.318 0.364 0.402 0.083 0.423 0.337
Jemile Weeks Athletics 437 0.303 0.34 0.421 0.118 0.35 0.332
Dan Uggla Braves 672 0.233 0.311 0.453 0.22 0.253 0.331
Danny Espinosa Nationals 658 0.236 0.323 0.414 0.178 0.292 0.325
Neil Walker Pirates 662 0.273 0.334 0.408 0.134 0.315 0.322
Jamey Carroll Dodgers 510 0.29 0.359 0.347 0.058 0.332 0.321
Maicer Izturis Angels 494 0.276 0.334 0.388 0.111 0.311 0.316
Kelly Johnson - - - 613 0.222 0.304 0.413 0.191 0.277 0.316
Freddy Sanchez Giants 261 0.289 0.332 0.397 0.109 0.327 0.315
Ruben Tejada Mets 376 0.284 0.36 0.335 0.052 0.331 0.315
Ryan Raburn Tigers 418 0.256 0.297 0.432 0.176 0.324 0.314
Blake DeWitt Cubs 243 0.265 0.305 0.413 0.148 0.289 0.313
Alexi Casilla Twins 365 0.26 0.322 0.368 0.108 0.294 0.311
Justin Turner Mets 487 0.26 0.334 0.356 0.097 0.292 0.311
Orlando Hudson Padres 454 0.246 0.329 0.352 0.106 0.293 0.308
Mike Aviles - - - 309 0.255 0.289 0.409 0.154 0.276 0.307
Ramon Santiago Tigers 294 0.26 0.311 0.384 0.124 0.283 0.305
Robert Andino Orioles 511 0.263 0.327 0.344 0.081 0.311 0.305
Omar Infante Marlins 640 0.276 0.315 0.382 0.105 0.298 0.305
Sean Rodriguez Rays 436 0.223 0.323 0.357 0.134 0.268 0.303
Skip Schumaker Cardinals 400 0.283 0.333 0.351 0.068 0.321 0.3
Jeff Baker Cubs 212 0.269 0.302 0.383 0.114 0.333 0.3
Mike Fontenot Giants 252 0.227 0.304 0.377 0.15 0.267 0.298
Darwin Barney Cubs 571 0.276 0.313 0.353 0.078 0.31 0.296
Jeff Keppinger - - - 400 0.277 0.3 0.377 0.1 0.28 0.295
Aaron Hill - - - 571 0.246 0.299 0.356 0.11 0.268 0.292
Ryan Theriot Cardinals 483 0.271 0.321 0.342 0.07 0.296 0.292
Aaron Miles Dodgers 490 0.275 0.314 0.346 0.07 0.3 0.291
Jose Altuve Astros 234 0.276 0.297 0.357 0.081 0.309 0.289
Chris Nelson Rockies 189 0.25 0.28 0.383 0.133 0.289 0.289
Gordon Beckham White Sox 557 0.23 0.296 0.337 0.106 0.276 0.284
Mark Ellis - - - 519 0.248 0.288 0.346 0.098 0.28 0.283
Johnny Giavotella Royals 187 0.247 0.273 0.376 0.129 0.288 0.283
Luke Hughes Twins 317 0.223 0.289 0.338 0.115 0.282 0.28
Chris Getz Royals 429 0.255 0.313 0.287 0.032 0.288 0.278
Adam Kennedy Mariners 409 0.234 0.277 0.355 0.121 0.266 0.278
Jonathan Herrera Rockies 320 0.242 0.313 0.299 0.057 0.273 0.276
Brian Roberts Orioles 178 0.221 0.273 0.331 0.11 0.236 0.274
Wilson Valdez Phillies 300 0.249 0.294 0.341 0.092 0.288 0.274
Angel Sanchez Astros 328 0.24 0.305 0.285 0.045 0.278 0.27
Jose Lopez - - - 242 0.216 0.245 0.372 0.156 0.214 0.269
Justin Sellers Dodgers 139 0.203 0.283 0.301 0.098 0.235 0.267
Omar Vizquel White Sox 182 0.251 0.287 0.305 0.054 0.278 0.259
Orlando Cabrera - - - 477 0.238 0.267 0.307 0.069 0.259 0.254
Bill Hall - - - 199 0.211 0.261 0.314 0.103 0.306 0.252
Logan Forsythe Padres 169 0.213 0.281 0.287 0.073 0.269 0.251
Jack Wilson - - - 232 0.243 0.274 0.285 0.042 0.294 0.251
Michael Martinez Phillies 234 0.196 0.258 0.282 0.086 0.22 0.247

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

2011 Sleeper: Brad Emaus 2B (or utility) New York Mets

The New York Mets and many of their fans have been bitching about Luis Castillo and his unsuitability to be their starting second baseman almost since he arrived in New York. It's probably a little unreasonable in intensity... Fortunately, for those New Yorkers and the Mets, the pain is almost over. The new Mets management has options to replace Castillo and it appears that they will. Castillo is in the final season of a four year deal and is scheduled to earn $6 million. He could very well collect it playing for another team. Sandy Alderson appears to be the type of General Manager that will acknowledge a mistake and cut a player rather than continually try to prove he was right.

Reese Havens is the future at the position if all goes well but for now it appears to be a competition between four players: Daniel Murphy, Brad Emaus, Justin Turner and the incumbent Luis Castillo.

Daniel Murphy

Last year the Mets the Mets saw Daniel Murphy as an infield option but injury took him out early in the season and he was not a factor in 2010. But Murphy is now healthy and expected to compete for the job of starting second baseman. To prepare for the 2011 season Murphy signed up for the Dominican Winter League. He batted .320/.395/.515 with four homers and five steals (only caught once) in 103 at-bats. A small sample to be sure, but an encouraging one.

Murphy is a natural third baseman but the Mets believe he can handle second base defensively, or at least that he'll be better in the infield than the outfield. From a scouting report in the Boston Globe:
"He’s a good enough athlete where he can pull it off,’’ said the scout, "but it will take time just to learn all the nuances of the position. I can see their thinking. He can hit. A sound player. This would be a nice conversion for them at a position they need help at."
Murphy has the patience to draw walks. He is also a good contact hitter but swings at a few too many pitches out of the strike zone, which limits his batting average potential. He has decent power for a middle infielder and the speed and ability to steal 15-20 bases in full-time at-bats. Murphy is probably the favorite to win the position based on his talent and major league experience. He's likely to be on the major league roster even if he fails to win the starting job. Murphy seems idealy suited for an injury prone Mets team. He can play several positions and will not embarrass himself with the bat. Those skills are best utilized from the bench.

Justin Turner

The Mets picked up Justin Turner on waivers from the Baltimore Orioles where he was a fan favorite but was apparently unappreciated by the team's management. In his brief Major league appearances Turner has failed to hit effectively. Turner can play all over the infield including short stop and the Mets called him up when Jose Reyes needed a mid-summer break. But despite his major league woes, turner had a very strong season in Triple-A for the Mets, batting .333/.390/.516 with 11 homers and five steals (caught three times) in 312 at-bats. He followed his strong Triple-A stint with a solid performance in the Dominican Winter League where he slashed .318/.382/.438 with a homer in 80 at-bats.

Turner has always shown the ability to hit for a strong batting average. This is based mostly on his strong contact skills, and some ability to draw walks. He has a little pop, nothing to write home about, and doesn't steal bases. His value is in hitting for average and defensive versatility. He is also a very strong hitter against left-handed pitchers. Although he is seemingly popular wherever he goes, Turner may be the unlikeliest candidate for the job based on a lack of power and speed but he has his supporters.

Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo was a decent player with the Florida Marlins who brought him up and with the Minnesota Twins during his short stint with them. He has never shown any power. His fanalytic value has always been tied to his batting average and stolen bases. His speed on the bases has gradually evaporated and the batting average comes and goes. For the Mets, Castillo has been bad and worse, two out of three seasons. He still draws a decent number of walks but his average has been so bad that his on-base percentages have been mediocre. The decline in speed has also killed his defense, which has been terrible for the Mets. Even if Castillo had a great Spring Training he would have a hard time winning the faith of the Mets management.

Brad Emaus

The Mets used their first Rule V draft pick on natural second baseman Brad Emaus, so he must stay on the major league roster for the entire season or be offered back to the Toronto Blue Jays. It is difficult to say how determined the Mets are to have Emaus on the 25-man roster. One the one hand, they did draft him and pay the Blue Jays cash to take him off their hands. On the other hand, the Mets (even in their current state) have the money to blow just to take a look at a player.

My hunch says that the Mets are serious about Emaus. Sandy Alderson, is serious about team building and making maximum use of all his resources. His assistant Paul Depodesta is a stats guy and has to love a player like Emaus for reasons that will soon become apparent to you. Another assistant J.P. Ricciardi ran the Blue Jays when Emaus was drafted and likely knows him better than most. I think Emaus will stick around. The question is in what role.

Here's what Emaus had to say about being picked to Baseball America:
“My agent (ACES’ Mike Zimmerman) told me this week that there was a 50-50 chance I’d be taken in the Rule 5, and right now I’m just very ecstatic, excited to be given another chance by the Mets,” Emaus said via phone from the Dominican. Asked to give Mets fans a scouting report, Emaus said, “I’m just a blue-collar guy, a solid guy who has to know the game, has to have some (baseball IQ) because I don’t have great tools. I’m not flashy but I bring my best every day and go out trying to find an edge.”
Emaus spent the 2010 season playing at two levels for the Toronto Blue Jays. In Double-A, he slashed .272/.402/.434 with five homers and five steals in 170 at-bats. After being promoted to Triple-A, he hit .298/.395/.495 with ten homers and eight stolen bases. A nice season that he followed up in the Dominican Winter League (noticing a theme?) where he slashed .268/.345/.449 with one homer and two steals in 127 at-bats.

Emaus has a fantastic eye and a ton of patience at the plate. He has solid power, which is mostly double at this point but there is still room for that to turn to homer power. Right now he probably would hit 10-15 homers in a full season of at-bats with an upside of 20. He has decent not great speed but is a skilled baserunner who will steal 10-15 bases per season. He should hit for a strong batting average based on his eye and very good contact skills. His upside looks a lot like Daniel Murphy's but he also throws in a solid glove at second base. He is sure-handed but with just average range according to scouting reports.

Conclusions

Murphy is clearly the favorite to win the job but Emaus is a dark horse with a ton of support in upper management. Murphy has the most major league experience and his versatility makes him a decent bench option. Emaus has a better glove at second base and gets on base at a tremendous rate, he would make a very good number two hitter behind Jose Reyes and in front of the powerful middle of the Mets lineup.

Luis Castillo is so reviled that it is almost impossible for him to make the team. It is probably more likely that he is cut than he becomes the starter. Justin Turner has some flash but lacks the backing to win the job short of an outstanding spring. There is a case to be made for platooning Turner with Murphy but that is kinda hard to predict.

More Mets News

From MLB.com:
Johan Santana visited Mets medical staff in New York this week and has been cleared to begin a rehab program "which will have him throwing before the start of Spring Training," according to a team spokesman. Santana, 31, had been sidelined since undergoing September surgery to repair a torn anterior capsule in his left shoulder. His original rehab schedule called for him to begin playing catch in January, leading the spokesman to say, "It's about where we're supposed to be."

Though there is no concrete timetable for his return, the Mets do not expect him back until around mid-season.
Check It Out!

Our friend Jason Collette has moved on to Baseball Prospectus (FanBall.com is leaving us soon) and the link leads to his first piece on a few underrated pitchers that fantasy owners should consider. Check it out!

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2011/1/6/1920032/the-mets-options-at-second-base

http://www.metsminorleagueblog.com/2010/12/02/watching-justin-turner-live-in-december/

http://www.metsminorleagueblog.com/2011/01/12/comparison-brad-emaus-justin-turner/

http://risingapple.com/2010/05/26/mets-claim-justin-turner-from-orioles/

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Martin Prado: Best Hitter in the National League?

I found something odd inside last week's Baseball America. On page 15 they printed the results of their survey of major league managers of the best tools in baseball. Most of it was fairly predictable. The best National League baserunners were Michael Bourn, Nyjer Morgan and Andrew McCutchen. The most exciting players in the American League were Carl Crawford, Josh Hamilton and Ichiro Suzuki. And the best hitters in the National League were Albert Pujols, Joey Votto and Martin Prado. Say what, now? Martin Prado?

It's true that Martin Prado has been extremely good over the last couple of years. First as a utility player and finally as the full-time second baseman. Dave Cameron of FanGraphs.com had good things to say about him during his Trade Value series of articles in which Prado ranked at number 47.
The ultimate performance over tools guy in the big leagues right now, Prado’s success is a testament to how pedigree doesn’t mean everything. This is a guy who hit 15 home runs in 2,119 minor league plate appearances, and was simply not considered much of a prospect when he got to the big leagues. However, for the last three years, he’s been one of the best second baseman in baseball, adding some power to his already good contact rates and turning himself into a legitimate All-Star this season. He’s headed for his prime years as an already good player, and the Braves have him under control for three more seasons. He might be the most unexpected guy on this list, but he’s earned his spot here.
By wOBA, Prado comes in an impressive seventh among second basemen this season with an extremely solid .368 score. He ranks 22nd in wOBA in the National League, which is impressive for a player that was not expected to become an offensive force.

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At the time of this posting, Prado held a slash of .317/.360/.488 with 15 homeruns, 89 runs scored, and 58 RBI in 498 at-bats. Although his walk rate is unimpressive at just 6.4 percent, he has shown incredible patience at the plate. He swings at far fewer pitchers than most major league hitters both in and out of the strike zone. He also makes far greater contact. He is definitely a skilled hitter. The key to his transformation seems to be his steadily increasing power. The last three seasons have seen his ISO go from .140 to .158 to .171 this season.

Although most leagues do not bother with defense, I thought it would be interesting to see how he has been with the glove. The answer is pretty good overall. He's been excellent at third base just passing at second base but showing some improvement. I think this helps us call him a pretty good third baseman and a very good second baseman.

Unfortunately, the major league managers seem to have elevated him a bit past his true skills as a hitter. He is definitely a player worth watching for fantasy purposes. At 27-years old with experience we may see him take another step up and into the true tier of best hitters in the National League. But for now I would still place players like Albert Pujols, Joey Votto, Matt Holliday, Ryan Zimmerman and Hanley Ramirez in a class above him.

How has Martin Prado helped in your quests for gold. Are you ready to label him one of the best hitters in the National League? Let's hear about it in the comments section.

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Down the Stretch: The Top Second Basemen of 2010

The second base position was thin this season thanks to under achievers and injuries. Kelly Johnson has had a great season but you'd think he'd be behind guys like Chase Utley, Ian Kinsler, Aaron Hill, Dustin Pedroia, and others who were not their usual selves this season for a variety of reasons.

Name Team BB% K% AVG OBP SLG ISO BABIP wOBA
Robinson Cano Yankees 8.60% 11.70% 0.322 0.385 0.557 0.235 0.323 0.398
Dan Uggla Marlins 12.50% 25.20% 0.294 0.381 0.532 0.239 0.331 0.396
Kelly Johnson Diamondbacks 12.50% 24.00% 0.281 0.373 0.499 0.217 0.33 0.379
Dustin Pedroia Red Sox 10.50% 12.60% 0.288 0.367 0.493 0.205 0.291 0.377
Rickie Weeks Brewers 9.80% 27.60% 0.276 0.371 0.483 0.207 0.336 0.375
Chase Utley Phillies 12.30% 13.60% 0.275 0.378 0.462 0.187 0.279 0.373
Martin Prado Braves 6.40% 13.90% 0.321 0.363 0.491 0.17 0.345 0.369
Ian Kinsler Rangers 12.00% 15.80% 0.298 0.387 0.418 0.12 0.332 0.359
Bill Hall Red Sox 9.30% 30.70% 0.247 0.319 0.478 0.231 0.289 0.349
Omar Infante Braves 4.80% 14.20% 0.339 0.369 0.42 0.081 0.385 0.347
Orlando Hudson Twins 9.40% 16.30% 0.287 0.358 0.404 0.118 0.327 0.342
Brandon Phillips Reds 6.50% 12.70% 0.282 0.336 0.448 0.166 0.3 0.342
Neil Walker Pirates 6.30% 22.10% 0.298 0.346 0.431 0.134 0.361 0.339
Jamey Carroll Dodgers 13.70% 17.20% 0.288 0.385 0.337 0.049 0.341 0.333
Jeff Keppinger Astros 8.70% 7.10% 0.285 0.348 0.395 0.11 0.296 0.331
Ty Wigginton Orioles 8.40% 19.10% 0.254 0.325 0.435 0.181 0.272 0.33
Jayson Nix - - - 7.40% 25.40% 0.244 0.31 0.435 0.192 0.274 0.325
Blake DeWitt - - - 10.20% 19.60% 0.272 0.352 0.381 0.109 0.329 0.325
Carlos Guillen Tigers 7.60% 16.20% 0.273 0.327 0.419 0.146 0.304 0.323
Sean Rodriguez Rays 3.00% 28.50% 0.263 0.305 0.409 0.146 0.342 0.317
Adam Rosales Athletics 6.80% 25.50% 0.271 0.321 0.4 0.129 0.335 0.317
Mike Fontenot - - - 5.10% 17.10% 0.282 0.327 0.398 0.116 0.331 0.315
Adam Kennedy Nationals 9.30% 14.00% 0.261 0.33 0.346 0.086 0.29 0.312
Howie Kendrick Angels 3.90% 15.60% 0.269 0.302 0.403 0.134 0.301 0.311
Jason Donald Indians 7.00% 21.40% 0.256 0.315 0.393 0.137 0.315 0.31
David Eckstein Padres 4.80% 4.90% 0.279 0.326 0.354 0.075 0.29 0.308
Maicer Izturis Angels 7.90% 13.50% 0.245 0.31 0.365 0.12 0.267 0.304
Gordon Beckham White Sox 7.20% 19.30% 0.252 0.313 0.378 0.126 0.292 0.302
Skip Schumaker Cardinals 8.20% 14.90% 0.263 0.329 0.34 0.077 0.296 0.301
Mike Aviles Royals 4.30% 12.10% 0.291 0.321 0.36 0.069 0.323 0.3
Chone Figgins Mariners 11.90% 20.30% 0.248 0.337 0.295 0.047 0.304 0.299
Reid Brignac Rays 5.90% 27.50% 0.255 0.306 0.382 0.127 0.328 0.298
Jerry Hairston Padres 6.70% 12.80% 0.254 0.309 0.368 0.114 0.267 0.297
Aaron Hill Blue Jays 7.30% 13.90% 0.214 0.282 0.393 0.179 0.206 0.295
Jonathan Herrera Rockies 8.20% 16.00% 0.278 0.335 0.327 0.049 0.321 0.294

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Thursday, October 22, 2009

2010 Free Agents: Second Baseman

I know Joe Torre was dumb enough to play Ron Belliard over Orlando Hudson since the former joined the Dodgers. But could he be dumb enough to convince the Dodgers to sign Belliard long term? There are some decent vets on this list but no one that makes you want to clear a space or spend a ton of money. If my team had an opening Hudson would be my first choice. If I were strapped for cash I'd go with Placido Polanco.

Key Sleepers: Akinori Iwamura, Felipe Lopez

Second Basemen
Marlon Anderson NYM
Ron Belliard LAD (B)
Jamey Carroll CLE
David Eckstein SD
Orlando Hudson LAD (A)
Omar Infante ATL
Felipe Lopez MIL (A)
Mark Loretta LAD
Placido Polanco DET (A) - Polanco signed a 3-year, $18 million contract to play third base for the Philadelphia Phillies.
Freddy Sanchez * SF (A) - re-signed with the SanFrancisco Giants for two years and $12million

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Moving Up: Chris Coghlan

The Marlins have called up second base prospect Chris Coghlan and it appears that he will soon replace week one hero Emilio Bonifacio in the starting lineup. The early plan is to have Coghlan play multiple positions but as essentially a regular in the lineup. He made his first start at his natural second base position and the next in the outfield. If Coghlan is productive and Bonifacio continues to slump a change could be made very quickly.

Coghlan is a disciplined hitter with strong contact skills. He has some pop and could hit around ten homers in a full season. He has just slightly above average speed but is a very good base stealer. He should accumulate 20-plus in a full season of at-bats. He is the player the Marlins project to eventually replace Dan Uggla at second base. Coghlan is a real prospect (Marlins #9 according to Baseball America) in a way that the well-traveled Bonifacio could never be. He will receive opportunities despite his production when Bonifacio could be replaced under similar circumstances.

Season Team G AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI BB SO SB CS AVG
2006 Marlins (R) 2 7 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 1 0 0 0.286
2006 Marlins (A-) 28 94 28 5 1 0 14 12 13 9 5 2 0.298
2007 Marlins (A) 81 305 99 26 4 10 60 64 47 43 19 4 0.325
2007 Marlins (A+) 34 130 26 5 3 2 17 18 15 19 5 1 0.200
2008 Marlins (AA) 132 483 144 32 5 7 83 74 67 65 34 10 0.298
2009 Marlins (AAA) 25 96 33 9 1 3 21 22 12 10 9 1 0.344